Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Gtech Community Stadium

Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
Brentford 1 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Kevin Schade

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.30pm
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Brighton
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jan Paul van Hecke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brentford win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 33.75% and a draw has a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 0-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.82%).

Result

Brentford 40.36% (-0.04)
Draw 25.89%
Brighton & Hove Albion 33.75% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.54% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.16% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.84% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.68% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.32% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.28% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.72% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.8% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.2% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Brentford 32.5% (+0.11)
Draw 41.26% (-0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion 26.24% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Brentford 49.64% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.84% (+0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion 43.52% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 60.33% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.53% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.15% (-0.02)
Over 9 48.33% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.68%
Over 10.5 36.92%
Under 10.5 63.08%

Brentford Goals

Over 1.5 40.35% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.65% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.13%
Under 2.5 82.87%
Over 3.5 5.65%
Under 3.5 94.35%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.39% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.61% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.7% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 64.3% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.88%
Under 2.5 86.12%
Over 3.5 4.62% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.38% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Brentford 40.36%
Draw 25.89%
Brighton & Hove Albion 33.75%
Brentford
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 5.48% (-0.01)
Total : 40.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 25.89%
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 33.75%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Bryan Mbeumo 9' goal
  • Michael Kayode 18' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 48' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 58' goal
  • Mathias Jensen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Christian Norgaard 90'+5' goal
  • Nathan Collins 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 40'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 45'+3'
  • redcard Joao Pedro 61'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 81'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 27, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Jonas Scheuermann 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 57'
  • yellowcard Yehor Yarmolyuk 75'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 3, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Vitaly Janelt 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 53'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 25' yellowcard
  • Pascal Gross 31' goal
  • Jack Hinshelwood 52' goal
  • Facundo Buonanotte 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Billy Gilmour 76' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 27'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 76'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 26, 2023 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • goal Simon Adingra 19'
  • goal Simon Adingra 58'