Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.