Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.