Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 11, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Leon Bailey 60' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 60' yellowcard
  • Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos 74' yellowcard
  • Alysson 74' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 75' yellowcard
  • Victor Lindelof 84' yellowcard
  • Victor Lindelöf 84' yellowcard
  • Jack Hinshelwood 86' goal
  • yellowcard James Milner 22'
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 61'
  • yellowcard Harry Howell 81'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Kostoulas 81'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 81'
  • yellowcard H. Howell 81'

Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
Brighton 0 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Diego Gomez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 50.58% (-0.02)
Draw 22.14% (-0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion 27.24% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.96% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.81% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 59.91% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 40.09% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 37.96% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 62.04% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 22.72% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 77.28% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 39.08%
Draw 38.76% (-0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion 22.16% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 60.92% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.43% (-0.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion 34.65% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.1% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 30.91%
Over 9 44.94%
Equal 9 12.17%
Under 9 42.9% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 33.66%
Under 10.5 66.34%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 52.48% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 47.52% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 26.15% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 73.85% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 10.69% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.31% (-0.04)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 64.74%
Under 0.5 35.26%
Over 1.5 33.12% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.88% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.53% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.47% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.97% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.03% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 50.58%
Draw 22.14%
Brighton & Hove Albion 27.24%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.81% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 3.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.57% (+0.02)
Total : 50.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.14% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 22.14%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 6.81% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.85% (+0.02)
Total : 27.24%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 3, 2025 7.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 9' goal
  • Pau Torres 29' goal
  • Bart Verbruggen 45'+9' yellowcard
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 83' goal
  • Diego Gomez 85' yellowcard
  • Diego Gomez 86' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 37'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 45'+7'
  • goal Amadou Onana 60'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 75'
  • goal Donyell Malen 78'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Jack Hinshelwood 20' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Rashford 51'
  • goal Marco Asensio 78'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+2'
  • goal Donyell Malen 90'+10'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 36' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 38' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 47' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Adingra 12'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 37'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 72'
  • goal Tariq Lamptey 81'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Pascal Gross 49' yellowcard
  • Simon Adingra 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 87' goal
  • Roberto De Zerbi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 90'+9'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
  • Douglas Luiz 7' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 14' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 21' goal
  • Pervis Estupinan 26' goal
  • Lucas Digne 32' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 57' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 65' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 85' goal
  • Jhon Duran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 39'
  • goal Ansu Fati 50'
  • yellowcard Ansu Fati 72'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 79'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 84'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Douglas Luiz 8' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 26' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 38'

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups