Premier League Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
Feb 11, 2026 7.30pm
Villa Park
Brighton

Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
Brighton 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jan Paul van Hecke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 27.22% and a draw has a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.05%).

Result

Aston Villa 50.59% ▼ (-0.59)
Draw 22.15% ▲ (+0.12)
Brighton & Hove Albion 27.22% ▲ (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.92% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.16% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 18.84% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 59.83% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 40.17% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 37.9% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 62.07% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 22.66% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 4.5 77.34% ▲ (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 39.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 38.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Brighton & Hove Albion 22.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 60.89% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 4.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Brighton & Hove Albion 34.66% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 57.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 30.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 44.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.17%
Under 9 42.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 33.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 66.34% ▼ (-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 52.45% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 1.5 47.55% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 2.5 26.14% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 73.86% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 3.5 10.68% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 89.32% ▲ (+0.29)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 64.72% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 35.28% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 1.5 33.06% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 66.94% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 12.48% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 87.52% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 3.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.05% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 50.59%
Draw 22.16%
Brighton & Hove Albion 27.22%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 10.56% ▼ (-0.29)
Total : 50.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.16%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 27.22%

Head to Head

Premier League
Brighton
Dec 3, 2025 7.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Aston Villa
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 9' goal
  • Pau Torres 29' goal
  • Bart Verbruggen 45'+9' yellowcard
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 83' goal
  • Diego Gomez 85' yellowcard
  • Diego Gomez 86' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 37'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 45'+7'
  • goal Amadou Onana 60'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 75'
  • goal Donyell Malen 78'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Brighton
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Jack Hinshelwood 20' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Rashford 51'
  • goal Marco Asensio 78'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+2'
  • goal Donyell Malen 90'+10'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Brighton
  • Ollie Watkins 36' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 38' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 47' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Adingra 12'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 37'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 72'
  • goal Tariq Lamptey 81'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Brighton
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Pascal Gross 49' yellowcard
  • Simon Adingra 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 87' goal
  • Roberto De Zerbi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 90'+9'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
Brighton
  • Douglas Luiz 7' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 14' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 21' goal
  • Pervis Estupinan 26' goal
  • Lucas Digne 32' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 57' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 65' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 85' goal
  • Jhon Duran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 39'
  • goal Ansu Fati 50'
  • yellowcard Ansu Fati 72'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 79'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 84'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Brighton
  • Douglas Luiz 8' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 26' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 38'

Form Data

Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 0 Brentford
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Salzburg
Newcastle 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Fenerbahce 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Everton
Brighton 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Brighton 1 - 1 Everton
Fulham 2 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 1 Bournemouth
Man Utd 1 - 2 Brighton
Man City 1 - 1 Brighton

Build-up

Feature