Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.