Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Wolves 0 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Antoine Semenyo

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.00pm
Aston Villa 0 - 0 Brentford
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 36.41% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Bournemouth win is 2-1 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.39%).

Result

Bournemouth 36.41% (-0.05)
Draw 23.7% (+0.02)
Aston Villa 39.89% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.64% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 17.51% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 61.82% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.18% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 39.28% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 60.68% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 23.79% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.21% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 28.81%
Draw 39.53%
Aston Villa 31.66%

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 45.82% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.49% (+0.03)
Aston Villa 49.69% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.46% (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.39% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.14% (+0.09)
Over 9 49.48% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.54% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 37.99% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 62.01% (+0.13)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 42.08% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 57.92% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 18.99% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 81.01% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.94% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.06% (+0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 74.7% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.3% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.93% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.07% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.48% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.52% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.24% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.76% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 36.41%
Draw 23.71%
Aston Villa 39.88%
Bournemouth
2-1 @ 7.99%
1-0 @ 6.82%
2-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58%
Other @ 6.61% (-0.01)
Total : 36.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.71%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-1 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.91% (+0.03)
Total : 39.88%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Alex Scott 27' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Illia Zabarnyi 78' yellowcard
  • Dean Huijsen 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Asensio 28'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 45'+5'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 45'+6'
  • redcard Jacob Ramsey 80'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Amadou Onana 4' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 18' yellowcard
  • Jacob Ramsey 41' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 55' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 58' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 76' goal
  • Matty Cash 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 10'
  • yellowcard Julian Araujo 21'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 40'
  • yellowcard Enes Unal 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 80'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 90'
  • goal Evanilson 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
  • Morgan Rogers 45'+1' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 57' goal
  • Leon Bailey 78' goal
  • Matty Cash 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 21'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 31'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 37'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 55'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Antoine Semenyo 10' goal
  • Justin Kluivert 12' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 17' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 52' goal
  • Ryan Christie 54' yellowcard
  • Milos Kerkez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Leon Bailey 20'
  • yellowcard Pau Torres 29'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 43'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 84'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 90'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Douglas Luiz 7' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 80' goal
  • Emiliano Buendia 89' goal