Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Diego Gómez 6' goal
  • Danny Welbeck 15' goal
  • Joël Veltman 71' yellowcard
  • Carlos Baleba 86' yellowcard
  • Solly March 86' yellowcard
  • Maxim De Cuyper 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 13'
  • yellowcard Jair Cunha  56'
  • yellowcard Luca Netz 56'
  • yellowcard Jair Cunha  57'
  • yellowcard Luca Netz 57'
  • yellowcard Dilane Bakwa 74'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 82'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 83'
  • yellowcard Taiwo Awoniyi  83'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Diego Gomez

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 0 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Gibbs-White

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.97% (+0.01)
Draw 26.73% (+0.04)
Nottingham Forest 27.27% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.29% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.66% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 28.34% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 47.22% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 52.78% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 25.49% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 74.51% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 13.82% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 86.18% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 32.88%
Draw 42.57%
Nottingham Forest 24.55%

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 51.73% (-0.12)
No Goal 8.59% (+0.07)
Nottingham Forest 39.68% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 61.5% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 27.31% (-0.05)
Over 9 49.74% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.5% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 38.44% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 61.56% (-0.02)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 41.98% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.02% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.09% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.91% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.03% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.97% (+0.02)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 61.33% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 38.67% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 27.98% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 72.02% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 9.5% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 90.5% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.52% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.48% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.96%
Draw 26.73%
Nottingham Forest 27.26%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 11.87% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.15% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.88% (-0.01)
Total : 45.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 8.59% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.73%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 7.83% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.37% (-0.01)
Total : 27.26%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 30, 2025 2.05pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 44'
  • goal Maxim De Cuyper 45'+1'
  • goal Stefanos Tzimas 88'
FA Cup
Mar 29, 2025 5.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET Broadfield Stadium
  • Pervis Estupinan 62' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 114' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 88'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 97'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 111'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 120'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 12.30pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT The City Ground
  • Murillo 7' yellowcard
  • Lewis Dunk 12' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 25' goal
  • Chris Wood 32' goal
  • Chris Wood 64' goal
  • Chris Wood 69' goal
  • Neco Williams 89' goal
  • Jota Silva 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 11'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinshelwood 20'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 58'
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Carlos Balepa 25' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 39' yellowcard
  • Jack Hinshelwood 42' goal
  • Danny Welbeck 45' goal
  • Nuno Espirito Santo 84' redcard
  • Lewis Dunk 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Wood 13'
  • yellowcard Ola Aina 44'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 46'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 60'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 64'
  • goal Ramon Sosa 70'
  • redcard Morgan Gibbs-White 83'
  • yellowcard Callum Hudson-Odoi 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Andrew Omobamidele 29' goal
  • Ansu Fati 41' yellowcard
  • Jakub Moder 67' yellowcard
  • Joel Veltman 78' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 14'
  • yellowcard Andrew Omobamidele 19'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 55'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The City Ground
  • Anthony Elanga 3' goal
  • Harry Toffolo 54' yellowcard
  • Moussa Niakhate 74' yellowcard
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 76' goal
  • goal Evan Ferguson 26'
  • goal Joao Pedro 45'+4'
  • goal Joao Pedro 58'
  • yellowcard Simon Adingra 65'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 72'
  • redcard Lewis Dunk 73'
  • yellowcard Evan Ferguson 74'
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 82'
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 90'+4'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
Head to head