Premier League Gameweek 28
Brighton
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
The American Express Community Stadium
Nott'm Forest

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jan Paul van Hecke

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 0 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Igor Jesus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 27.34% and a draw has a probability of 26.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 0-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.96% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 26.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Nottingham Forest 27.34% ▼ (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.39% ▼ (-0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.81% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 28.19% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 47.39% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 52.61% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 25.59% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 74.41% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 4.5 13.87% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 86.13% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 32.88%
Draw 42.57%
Nottingham Forest 24.55%

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 51.84% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 8.53% ▲ (+0.17)
Nottingham Forest 39.63% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.46%
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 27.35%
Over 9 49.71%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 38.54%
Over 10.5 38.42%
Under 10.5 61.58%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 42.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 18.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.04%
Under 3.5 93.96%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 61.5% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 0.5 38.5% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 28.11% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 71.89% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 2.5 9.55% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 90.45% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.53% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 97.47% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.97%
Draw 26.7%
Nottingham Forest 27.33%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 11.84% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.89%
Total : 45.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.7%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 27.33%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nott'm Forest
Nov 30, 2025 2.05pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Brighton
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 44'
  • goal Maxim De Cuyper 45'+1'
  • goal Stefanos Tzimas 88'
FA Cup
Brighton
Mar 29, 2025 5.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET Broadfield Stadium
Nott'm Forest
  • Pervis Estupinan 62' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 114' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 88'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 97'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 111'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 120'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Nott'm Forest
Feb 1, 2025 12.30pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT The City Ground
Brighton
  • Murillo 7' yellowcard
  • Lewis Dunk 12' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 25' goal
  • Chris Wood 32' goal
  • Chris Wood 64' goal
  • Chris Wood 69' goal
  • Neco Williams 89' goal
  • Jota Silva 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 11'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinshelwood 20'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 58'
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Brighton
Sep 22, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
Nott'm Forest
  • Carlos Balepa 25' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 39' yellowcard
  • Jack Hinshelwood 42' goal
  • Danny Welbeck 45' goal
  • Nuno Espirito Santo 84' redcard
  • Lewis Dunk 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Wood 13'
  • yellowcard Ola Aina 44'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 46'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 60'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 64'
  • goal Ramon Sosa 70'
  • redcard Morgan Gibbs-White 83'
  • yellowcard Callum Hudson-Odoi 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Brighton
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Nott'm Forest
  • Andrew Omobamidele 29' goal
  • Ansu Fati 41' yellowcard
  • Jakub Moder 67' yellowcard
  • Joel Veltman 78' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 14'
  • yellowcard Andrew Omobamidele 19'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 55'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nott'm Forest
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The City Ground
Brighton
  • Anthony Elanga 3' goal
  • Harry Toffolo 54' yellowcard
  • Moussa Niakhate 74' yellowcard
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 76' goal
  • goal Evan Ferguson 26'
  • goal Joao Pedro 45'+4'
  • goal Joao Pedro 58'
  • yellowcard Simon Adingra 65'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 72'
  • redcard Lewis Dunk 73'
  • yellowcard Evan Ferguson 74'
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 82'
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 90'+4'

Form Data

Brentford 0 - 2 Brighton
Liverpool 3 - 0 Brighton
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Brighton
Brighton 0 - 1 Crystal Palace
Brighton 1 - 1 Everton
Fulham 2 - 1 Brighton
Nott'm Forest 1 - 2 Fenerbahce
Nott'm Forest 0 - 1 Liverpool
Fenerbahce 0 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Wolves
Leeds 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Crystal Palace

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
Head to head