Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.