FA Cup
Apr 4, 2026 5.15pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Jorrel Hato 2' goal
  • João Pedro 25' goal
  • Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel 42' goal
  • Tosin Adarabioyo 57' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 61' yellowcard
  • Dário Essugo 62' yellowcard
  • Andrey Santos 69' goal
  • Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 78' yellowcard
  • Estêvão 82' goal
  • Josh Acheampong 85' yellowcard
  • Josh Acheampong 86' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Gray 65'
  • yellowcard George Hall 65'
  • yellowcard E. Campbell 65'
  • yellowcard E. Campbell 66'
  • yellowcard George Hall 66'
  • yellowcard E. Archer 74'
  • yellowcard Tyler Magloire 85'

Chelsea vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Port Vale

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (4.93%).

Result

Chelsea 64.55% (+1.33)
Draw 20% (-0.59)
Port Vale 15.5% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.59% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.44% (+1.30)
Under 1.5 21.56% (-1.31)
Over 2.5 56.3% (+1.58)
Under 2.5 43.7% (-1.58)
Over 3.5 33.78% (+1.39)
Under 3.5 66.22% (-1.38)
Over 4.5 21.57% (+1.38)
Under 4.5 78.43% (-1.38)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 45.4% (+1.86)
Draw 37.42% (-0.72)
Port Vale 17.18% (-1.15)

Team To Score First

Chelsea 67.21% (+1.91)
No Goal 5.48% (-0.42)
Port Vale 27.31% (-1.50)

Corners

Over 8 57.23% (-1.00)
Equal 8 10.97% (-0.07)
Under 8 31.8% (+1.08)
Over 9 46.12% (-0.83)
Equal 9 11.11% (-0.18)
Under 9 42.77% (+1.00)
Over 10.5 35.74% (-0.58)
Under 10.5 64.26% (+0.59)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 59.87% (+2.06)
Under 1.5 40.13% (-2.06)
Over 2.5 33.36% (+1.99)
Under 2.5 66.64% (-1.99)
Over 3.5 14.91% (+1.67)
Under 3.5 85.09% (-1.68)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 50.02% (-1.12)
Under 0.5 49.98% (+1.12)
Over 1.5 19.07% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 80.93% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 5.34% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 94.66% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.4% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.6% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Chelsea 64.56%
Draw 20.01%
Port Vale 15.5%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.54)
2-0 @ 10.89% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 10.06% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 7.64% (+0.38)
3-1 @ 6.71% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.23)
Other @ 14.82% (+1.59)
Total : 64.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.34)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.08)
Total : 20.01%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.31% (-0.15)
Total : 15.5%

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