Champions League
Mar 11, 2026 8.00pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Chelsea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 30.55% and a draw has a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.61%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 46.9% (-0.04)
Draw 22.52%
Chelsea 30.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.34% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.89% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 17.11% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 62.8% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 37.2% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 41.32% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 58.68% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 25.93% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 74.07% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 37.29%
Draw 36.94%
Chelsea 25.77%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 55.02%
No Goal 4.05%
Chelsea 40.93%

Corners

Over 8 54.28% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.46% (-0.03)
Under 8 34.26% (+0.09)
Over 9 42.93% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.36% (-0.05)
Under 9 45.72% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 32.56% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 67.44% (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 51.45% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 48.55% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 26.98% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 73.02% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 11.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.47% (+0.02)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 67.11%
Under 0.5 32.89%
Over 1.5 37.66%
Under 1.5 62.34%
Over 2.5 16.11% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.89% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.87% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.13% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 46.9%
Draw 22.52%
Chelsea 30.56%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.09% (-0.02)
Total : 46.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44% (+0.02)
Total : 22.52%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 5.43%
Total : 30.56%

Head to Head

Club World Cup
Jul 13, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Mar 9, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Diego Costa 27' goal
  • Cesc Fabregas 45' yellowcard
  • John Obi Mikel 53' yellowcard
  • Branislav Ivanovic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 16'
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 34'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 41'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 67'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 86'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 25, 2015 11.10pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 25' goal
  • Adrien Rabiot 52' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 34'
  • goal Victor Moses 65'
Champions League
Mar 11, 2015 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oscar 37' yellowcard
  • Ramires 52' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 73' yellowcard
  • Gary Cahill 81' goal
  • Eden Hazard 96' goal
  • redcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 31'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 33'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 40'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 73'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 74'
  • goal David Luiz 86'
  • goal Thiago Silva 114'
Champions League
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gregory van der Wiel 52' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 54' goal
  • Marco Verratti 78' yellowcard
  • goal Branislav Ivanovic 36'
  • yellowcard Branislav Ivanovic 65'
  • yellowcard Cesc Fabregas 73'
Champions League
Apr 8, 2014 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Willian 23' yellowcard
  • Andre Schurrle 32' goal
  • Frank Lampard 41' yellowcard
  • Branislav Ivanovic 56' yellowcard
  • David Luiz 82' yellowcard
  • Demba Ba 87' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 27'
  • yellowcard Edinson Cavani 40'
  • yellowcard Lucas Moura 52'
  • yellowcard Maxwell 79'