Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (6.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.