Coupe de France
Feb 3, 2026 8.10pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Rennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Rennes

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Rennes has a probability of 29.74% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Rennes win is 1-2 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).

Result

Marseille 47.71% (-0.79)
Draw 22.5% (-0.18)
Rennes 29.74% (+0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.63% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 17.48% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 61.88% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.12% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 40.15% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 59.85% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 25.17% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 74.83% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Marseille 39.02% (-0.24)
Draw 37.27% (-0.25)
Rennes 23.7% (+0.49)

Team To Score First

Marseille 57.38% (+0.11)
No Goal 4.46% (-0.09)
Rennes 38.16% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.32% (+0.61)
Equal 8 11.66% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.03% (-0.59)
Over 9 41.85% (+0.57)
Equal 9 11.47% (+0.06)
Under 9 46.68% (-0.61)
Over 10.5 31.47% (+0.49)
Under 10.5 68.53% (-0.49)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 51.31% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 48.69% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 26.77% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 73.23% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 12.03% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 87.97% (+0.33)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5 65.52% (+0.59)
Under 0.5 34.48% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 35.68% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 64.32% (-0.81)
Over 2.5 15.37% (+0.51)
Under 2.5 84.63% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 5.55% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 94.45% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Marseille 47.72%
Draw 22.51%
Rennes 29.75%
Marseille
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.15)
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.27% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.78% (-0.29)
Total : 47.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.24% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.05)
Total : 22.51%
Rennes
1-2 @ 6.56% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 5.53% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.24% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 3.22% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.87% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.3% (+0.30)
Total : 29.75%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 15, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Mason Greenwood 21' goal
  • Adrien Rabiot 38' goal
  • Luiz Felipe 40' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 45'+1' goal
  • Michael Murillo 64' yellowcard
  • Amar Dedic 89' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ismael Kone 14'
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 29'
  • yellowcard Anthony Rouault 30'
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 50'
  • goal Andres Gomez 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2025 8.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Roazhon Park
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 43' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 63' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Greenwood 45'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 49'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 4.05pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Roazhon Park
  • Martin Terrier 21' goal
  • Benjamin Bourigeaud 77' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 38'
  • yellowcard Pau Lopez 76'
  • yellowcard Ismaila Sarr 80'
Coupe de France
Jan 21, 2024 8.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Route de Lorient
  • Desire Doue 27' yellowcard
  • Martin Terrier 53' goal
  • Bertug Yildirim 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Veretout 29'
  • yellowcard Jean Onana 36'
  • yellowcard Ulisses Garcia 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Vitor Oliveira 49'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 8' goal
  • Azzedine Ounahi 65' goal
  • Iliman Ndiaye 67' redcard
  • Francois-Regis Mughe 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Baptiste Santamaria 36'
  • redcard Christopher Wooh 61'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Matic 76'
  • yellowcard Amine Gouiri 90'