Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 38.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.01%) and 2-3 (4.07%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.