Champions League
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Jan Breydelstadion
  • Mamadou Diakhon 4' goal
  • Romeo Vermant 11' goal
  • Christos Tzolis 70' yellowcard
  • Jorne Spileers 72' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Stankovic 79' goal
  • Aleksandar Stanković 79' goal
  • Nicolo Tresoldi 86' yellowcard
  • Hugo Vetlesen 86' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Tresoldi 86' yellowcard
  • Hugo Siquet 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Paixao 46'
  • yellowcard Igor Paixão 46'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 53'
  • yellowcard 86'
  • yellowcard Bilal Nadir 86'
  • yellowcard Matt O'Riley 86'
  • yellowcard Matt O'Riley 87'

Club Brugge vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 3.30pm
Kairat 1 - 4 Brugge

Marseille

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Marseille 0 - 3 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 38.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.01%) and 2-3 (4.07%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Club Brugge 38.11%
Draw 21.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Marseille 40.58% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.71% ▲ (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.75% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 11.25% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 72.74% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 27.26% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 51.37% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 48.63% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 4.5 35.23% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 4.5 64.77% ▼ (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Club Brugge 30.56%
Draw 36.05%
Marseille 33.39%

Team To Score First

Club Brugge 47.92% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Marseille 49.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 52.23%
Equal 8 10.29%
Under 8 37.48%
Over 9 42.1%
Equal 9 10.13%
Under 9 47.77%
Over 10.5 32.86%
Under 10.5 67.14%

Club Brugge Goals

Over 1.5 48.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 51.87% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 25.93% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 74.07% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 11.31% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 88.69% ▼ (-0.16)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 74.67%
Under 0.5 25.33%
Over 1.5 51.76% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 48.24% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 28.14% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 71.86% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 13.28% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 86.72% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Club Brugge 38.12%
Draw 21.28%
Marseille 40.57%
Club Brugge
2-1 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.56% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 38.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 21.28%
Marseille
1-2 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.01%
2-3 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.72%
Other @ 12.53% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 40.57%