Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 4, 2026 at 2pm UK

Marseille
vs.
Nantes Nantes

Coverage of the Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Bourg-Peronnas 0-6 Marseille
Sunday, December 21 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Concarneau 3-5 Nantes
Sunday, December 21 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw has a probability of 18.22% and a win for Nantes has a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.57%) , while for a Nantes win it is 0-1 (3.78%).

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nantes
68.73% ( -0.03)	18.22% ( 0.01)	13.05% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.33% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.81% (

0.01)

39.19% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.48% (

0.01)

61.52% (

-0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.63% (

-0.01)

10.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.13% (

-0.01)

33.87% (

0.01)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.39% (

0.04)

41.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.9% (

0.04)

78.09% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Marseille 68.73%

Nantes 13.05%

Draw 18.22%

Marseille	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 4.47% Total : 68.73%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.22%	0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 13.05%