Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 74.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.83% and a win for Bourg-en-Bresse Peronnas had a probability of 9.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.26%) and 0-3 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%) , while for a Bourg-en-Bresse Peronnas win it was 1-0 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.