Ligue 1

Dec 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Marseille
1-0
Monaco Monaco

Greenwood (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Monaco
Sunday, December 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Bourg-Peronnas vs. Marseille
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Monaco
Sunday, December 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Auxerre vs. Monaco
Sunday, December 21 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 1-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Monaco
54.21%	21.51%	24.28%

Both teams to score 62.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.25%

35.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.18%

57.82%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7%

13.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.86%

40.13%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.53%

27.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.04%

62.95%

Score Analysis

Marseille 54.21%

Monaco 24.28%

Draw 21.51%

Marseille	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 7.43% 1-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 6.46% 3-0 @ 5% 3-2 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.26% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.02% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.21%	1-1 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 6.15% 0-1 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.72% Total : 24.28%