Ligue 1
Marseille
Dec 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Monaco
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 40' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 82' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vanderson 64'

Marseille vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2025 8.00pm
Lille 1 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2025 6.00pm
Brest 1 - 0 Monaco
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ansu Fati

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 1-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Marseille 54.21%
Draw 21.51%
Monaco 24.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.88%

Goals

Over 2.5 64.25%
Under 2.5 35.75%
Over 3.5 42.18%
Under 3.5 57.82%
Over 4.5 23.91%
Under 4.5 76.08%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 86.7%
Under 0.5 13.3%
Over 1.5 59.86%
Under 1.5 40.13%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 72.53%
Under 0.5 27.46%
Over 1.5 37.04%
Under 1.5 62.95%

Score analysis

Marseille 54.21%
Draw 21.51%
Monaco 24.28%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 7.43%
1-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 6.46%
3-0 @ 5%
3-2 @ 4.17%
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 2.11%
5-1 @ 1.31%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 54.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 3.65%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.51%
Monaco
1-2 @ 6.15%
0-1 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 24.28%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Monaco
Apr 12, 2025 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Louis II.
Marseille
  • Wilfried Singo 9' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 34' goal
  • Breel Embolo 58' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 78' yellowcard
  • Denis Zakaria 82' goal
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Marseille
Dec 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Velodrome
Monaco
  • Luis Henrique 53' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 89' goal
  • goal Aleksandr Golovin 41'
  • yellowcard Vanderson 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Marseille
Jan 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Velodrome
Monaco
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 38' goal
  • Leonardo Balerdi 50' goal
  • Emran Soglo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 7'
  • redcard Guillermo Maripan 11'
  • goal Maghnes Akliouche 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 75'
  • yellowcard Thilo Kehrer 82'
  • redcard Denis Zakaria 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Monaco
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stade Louis II.
Marseille
  • Maghnes Akliouche 8' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 23' goal
  • Youssouf Fofana 42' yellowcard
  • Maghnes Akliouche 52' goal
  • Denis Zakaria 59' yellowcard
  • Eliot Matazo 76' yellowcard
  • Soungoutou Magassa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Iliman Ndiaye 1'
  • goal Samuel Gigot 18'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 54'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 59'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Clauss 73'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Marseille
Jan 28, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Monaco
  • Alexis Sanchez 47' goal
  • goal Jordan Veretout 17' (OG)
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Monaco
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Marseille
  • Wissam Ben Yedder 45' goal
  • Kevin Volland 72' goal
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 35'
  • goal Jordan Veretout 83'
  • goal Sead Kolasinac 90'+7'

Form Data

Union SG 2 - 3 Marseille
Lille 1 - 0 Marseille
Marseille 2 - 2 Toulouse
Marseille 2 - 1 Newcastle
Nice 1 - 5 Marseille
Marseille 3 - 0 Brest
Monaco 1 - 0 Galatasaray
Brest 1 - 0 Monaco
Monaco 1 - 0 PSG
Pafos 2 - 2 Monaco
Rennes 4 - 1 Monaco
Monaco 1 - 4 Lens