/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
-
Amine Gouiri
3'
-
Ethan Nwaneri
13'
-
Mason Greenwood
58'
-
Darryl Bakola
74'
-
Benjamin Pavard
74'
-
Matt O'Riley
74'
-
Amine Gouiri
75'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
80'
-
Abdallah Sima
59'
-
Rayan Fofana
71'
-
Andrija Bulatovic
72'
-
Anthony Bermont
78'
-
Florian Sotoca
78'
-
Rayan Fofana
85'
Marseille vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Lens had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result
Marseille
41.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
24.01%
▲
(+0.04)
Lens
34.61%
Both Teams to Score:
59.75%
Goals
Over 1.5
80.85%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
19.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
59.2%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
40.8%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
36.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
63.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
21.55%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
78.45%
▲
(+0.05)
First Half Winner
Marseille
32.62%
Draw
35.96%
Lens
31.43%
Team To Score First
Marseille
47.32%
No Goal
4.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Lens
47.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
48.65%
Equal 8
11.91%
Under 8
39.45%
Over 9
37.35%
Equal 9
11.3%
Under 9
51.35%
Over 10.5
27.47%
Under 10.5
72.53%
Marseille Goals
Over 1.5
45.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
54.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
21.29%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
78.71%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
8.16%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
91.84%
▲
(+0.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
70.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
29.77%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
39.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
60.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
16.56%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
83.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
5.56%
Under 3.5
94.44%
Score analysis
Marseille
41.38%
Draw
24.01%
Lens
34.62%
Marseille
2-1
@
8.34%
1-0 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 41.38%
1-0 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 41.38%
Draw
1-1
@
10.64%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.01%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.01%
Lens
1-2
@
8.35%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 34.62%
0-1 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 34.62%
Head to Head
-
Przemyslaw Frankowski
37'
-
Deiver Machado
74'
-
Angelo Fulgini
80'
-
Kevin Danso
83'
-
Florian Sotoca
90'+6'
-
Angelo Fulgini
90'+6'
-
Valentin Rongier
19'
-
Valentin Rongier
49'
-
Luis Henrique
57'
-
Geoffrey Kondogbia
66'
-
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
89'
-
Ulisses Garcia
90'+1'