Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2026 8.05pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 2.00pm
Marseille 0 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Igor Paixao

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Jan 2, 2026 7.45pm
Toulouse 0 - 3 Lens
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Lens has a probability of 30.66% and a draw has a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Lens win is 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11%).

Result

Marseille 44.97%
Draw 24.36%
Lens 30.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.9%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.13%
Under 1.5 19.87%
Over 2.5 57.75%
Under 2.5 42.25%
Over 3.5 35.11%
Under 3.5 64.9%
Over 4.5 20.31%
Under 4.5 79.69%

First Half Winner

Marseille 33.68%
Draw 36.28%
Lens 30.03%

Team To Score First

Marseille 48.39%
No Goal 5.13%
Lens 46.48%

Corners

Over 8 49.03%
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 39.03%
Over 9 37.67%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 50.97%
Over 10.5 27.71%
Under 10.5 72.29%

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 47.56%
Under 1.5 52.44%
Over 2.5 22.31%
Under 2.5 77.69%
Over 3.5 8.56%
Under 3.5 91.44%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 67.55%
Under 0.5 32.45%
Over 1.5 35.85%
Under 1.5 64.15%
Over 2.5 13.77%
Under 2.5 86.23%
Over 3.5 4.38%
Under 3.5 95.62%

Score analysis

Marseille 44.98%
Draw 24.36%
Lens 30.65%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.26%
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 8.36%
Total : 44.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.36%
Lens
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-1 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 30.65%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 25, 2025 8.05pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Valentin Rongier 53' yellowcard
  • Ismael Bennacer 77' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Balerdi 84' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Balerdi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdulay Juma Bah 60'
  • goal Neil El Aynaoui 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2024 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 37' yellowcard
  • Deiver Machado 74' yellowcard
  • Angelo Fulgini 80' goal
  • Kevin Danso 83' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Angelo Fulgini 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 19'
  • goal Valentin Rongier 49'
  • goal Luis Henrique 57'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 66'
  • goal Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 89'
  • yellowcard Ulisses Garcia 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 1' goal
  • Pape Gueye 41' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Balerdi 63' yellowcard
  • Pape Gueye 85' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 54'
  • yellowcard Elye Wahi 64'
  • goal Wesley Said 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Jonathan Gradit 44' yellowcard
  • Salis Abdul Samed 76' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Gradit 90' goal
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 37'
  • yellowcard Vitor Oliveira 45'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Seko Fofana 42' goal
  • Lois Openda 60' goal
  • goal Dimitri Payet 88'