Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 2, 2026 at 7.45pm UK

Toulouse
vs.
Lens

Coverage of the Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon-Duchere 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 3-1 Feignies-Aulnoye
Friday, December 19 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 26.49% and a draw has a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 1-0 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lens
26.49% ( -0.03)	24.74%	48.77% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.02% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52% (

-0.01)

48.47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39% (

-0.01)

70.6% (

0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45% (

-0.03)

32.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92% (

-0.03)

69.08% (

0.03)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

19.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.95% (

0.01)

52.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 26.49%

Lens 48.76%

Draw 24.74%

Toulouse	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.49%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.76%