Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.09% and a win for AS Lyon-Duchere had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a AS Lyon-Duchere win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.