Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.