Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2026 8.05pm
Stade Louis II.

Monaco vs Rennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 6.00pm
Le Havre 0 - 0 Monaco
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Takumi Minamino

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
Rennes 0 - 2 Lorient
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Valentin Rongier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monaco win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Rennes has a probability of 34.58% and a draw has a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Rennes win is 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.84%).

Result

Monaco 42.14% (-1.08)
Draw 23.28% (+0.46)
Rennes 34.58% (+0.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.9% (-1.95)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.11% (-1.44)
Under 1.5 19.89% (+1.45)
Over 2.5 58.15% (-2.22)
Under 2.5 41.85% (+2.22)
Over 3.5 36.13% (-2.66)
Under 3.5 63.87% (+2.66)
Over 4.5 21.12% (-2.08)
Under 4.5 78.88% (+2.07)

First Half Winner

Monaco 32.32% (+0.45)
Draw 36.63% (-2.25)
Rennes 31.04% (+1.79)

Team To Score First

Monaco 46.94% (-2.97)
No Goal 4.95% (+0.54)
Rennes 48.11% (+2.43)

Corners

Over 8 53.81% (-2.91)
Equal 8 11.8% (+0.16)
Under 8 34.38% (+2.77)
Over 9 42.15% (-2.81)
Equal 9 11.66% (-0.12)
Under 9 46.19% (+2.91)
Over 10.5 31.58% (-2.47)
Under 10.5 68.42% (+2.47)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 44.78% (-2.37)
Under 1.5 55.22% (+2.37)
Over 2.5 20.54% (-1.65)
Under 2.5 79.46% (+1.65)
Over 3.5 7.55% (-1.11)
Under 3.5 92.45% (+1.11)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5 69.98% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 30.02% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 38.49% (-0.87)
Under 1.5 61.51% (+0.87)
Over 2.5 16.62% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 83.38% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 5.64% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 94.36% (+0.36)

Score analysis

Monaco 42.14%
Draw 23.28%
Rennes 34.6%
Monaco
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.04% (+0.32)
2-0 @ 6.31% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 3.23%
Other @ 7.51% (-1.02)
Total : 42.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (+0.60)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.43)
0-0 @ 4.95% (+0.54)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.08)
Total : 23.28%
Rennes
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.22)
0-1 @ 6.92% (+0.60)
0-2 @ 4.8% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.30)
0-3 @ 2.29% (+0.27)
Other @ 5.6% (-0.29)
Total : 34.6%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 22, 2025 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Maghnes Akliouche 15' goal
  • Mika Biereth 52' goal
  • Aleksandr Golovin 56' goal
  • Christian Mawissa 63' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 73' yellowcard
  • Maghnes Akliouche 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mahamadou Nagida 45'+1'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 67'
  • yellowcard Christopher Wooh 71'
  • yellowcard Amine Gouiri 75'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Paul Audrin
  • Ludovic Blas 11' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 44' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 75' yellowcard
  • goal Thilo Kehrer 6'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 22'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Kassoum Ouattara 57'
  • yellowcard Takumi Minamino 72'
  • yellowcard Philipp Kohn 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 4.05pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Maghnes Akliouche 25' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 36' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Singo 58' yellowcard
  • Thilo Kehrer 64' redcard
  • redcard Martin Terrier 46'
  • yellowcard Arthur Theate 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Route de Lorient
  • Warmed Omari 38' yellowcard
  • Arthur Theate 61' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Bourigeaud 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Camara 13'
  • yellowcard Adi Hutter 14'
  • goal Vanderson 51'
  • yellowcard Vanderson 54'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Salisu 62'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 65'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Singo 69'
  • redcard Vanderson 74'
  • goal Youssouf Fofana 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lovro Majer 52' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 73' goal