Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Man City

Monaco

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Monaco 1 - 0 Galatasaray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.9%. A win for Monaco has a probability of 21.55% and a draw has a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Monaco win is 1-2 (5.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.27%).

Result

Real Madrid 57.9% (+1.29)
Draw 20.51% (+0.18)
Monaco 21.55% (-1.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.17% (-1.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.87% (-1.16)
Under 1.5 19.13% (+1.17)
Over 2.5 60.25% (-1.01)
Under 2.5 39.75% (+1.01)
Over 3.5 36.76% (-1.57)
Under 3.5 63.24% (+1.57)
Over 4.5 23.29% (-1.16)
Under 4.5 76.71% (+1.15)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 44.18% (+2.15)
Draw 36.15% (+0.47)
Monaco 19.67% (-2.60)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 62.98% (+3.67)
No Goal 4.73% (+0.44)
Monaco 32.29% (-4.11)

Corners

Over 8 62.54% (-0.15)
Equal 8 10.66% (+0.19)
Under 8 26.8% (-0.06)
Over 9 51.26% (-0.36)
Equal 9 11.28% (+0.21)
Under 9 37.46% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 40.3% (-0.52)
Under 10.5 59.7% (+0.53)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 56.97% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 43.03% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 30.77% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 69.23% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 13.52% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 86.48% (+0.11)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 57.5% (-1.71)
Under 0.5 42.5% (+1.71)
Over 1.5 26.94% (-1.94)
Under 1.5 73.06% (+1.94)
Over 2.5 9.64% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 90.36% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 2.87% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 97.13% (+0.26)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 57.92%
Draw 20.51%
Monaco 21.55%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 10.28% (+0.31)
1-0 @ 9.63% (+0.83)
2-0 @ 8.7% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 6.26% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 6.08% (+0.35)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.38)
Other @ 13.34% (-0.22)
Total : 57.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.28)
0-0 @ 4.73% (+0.44)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.10)
Total : 20.51%
Monaco
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.39)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.69% (-0.36)
Total : 21.55%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Sep 11, 2024 7.00pm
Estadio Municipal de Pasaron

Build-up

Feature