Supercopa de Espana
Barcelona
Jan 11, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Alinma Stadium
Real Madrid
  • Raphinha 36' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 45'+4' goal
  • Ferran Torres 66' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 66' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 73' goal
  • 83' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 83' yellowcard
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 83' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+2'
  • goal Gonzalo Garcia 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Arda Guler 68'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 76'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 76'
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 82'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 82'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 83'

Barcelona vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

Real Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.2%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Barcelona 42.6%
Draw 22.7%
Real Madrid 34.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

65.9%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.76%
Under 1.5 15.24%
Over 2.5 65.1%
Under 2.5 34.9%
Over 3.5 43.1%
Under 3.5 56.9%
Over 4.5 27.03%
Under 4.5 72.97%

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 49.42%
Under 1.5 50.58%
Over 2.5 24.77%
Under 2.5 75.23%
Over 3.5 10.23%
Under 3.5 89.77%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 71.76%
Under 0.5 28.24%
Over 1.5 42.62%
Under 1.5 57.38%
Over 2.5 19.57%
Under 2.5 80.43%
Over 3.5 7.42%
Under 3.5 92.58%

Score analysis

Barcelona 42.59%
Draw 22.71%
Real Madrid 34.7%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 8.68%
1-0 @ 6.2%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.24%
Other @ 9.81%
Total : 42.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 6.86%
0-0 @ 3.5%
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.71%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-1 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 7%
Total : 34.7%

Head to Head

La Liga
Real Madrid
Oct 26, 2025 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Barcelona
La Liga Gameweek 35
Barcelona
May 11, 2025 3.15pm
4
3
HT : 4 2
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Real Madrid
  • Eric Garcia 19' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 32' goal
  • Raphinha 34' goal
  • Ronald Araujo 44' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 45' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 54' yellowcard
  • Fermin Lopez 80' yellowcard
  • Pedri 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 5'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 14'
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 29'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 36'
  • yellowcard Raul Asencio del Rosario 50'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 70'
Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Apr 26, 2025 9.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Real Madrid
  • Pedri 28' goal
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 37' yellowcard
  • Frenkie de Jong 68' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 84' goal
  • Fermin Lopez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Jules Kounde 116' goal
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 25'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 25'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 31'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 70'
  • goal Aurelien Tchouameni 77'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 107'
  • redcard Antonio Rudiger 120'+3'
  • redcard Lucas Vazquez 120'+4'
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 12, 2025 7.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 4
FT King Abdullah Sports City
Barcelona
  • Kylian Mbappe 5' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 35' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 53' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 60' goal
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 62' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 77' yellowcard
  • goal Lamine Yamal 22'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 36'
  • goal Raphinha 39'
  • goal Raphinha 48'
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 45'+8'
  • goal Alejandro Balde 45'+10'
  • redcard Wojciech Szczesny 56'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 77'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 89'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
Oct 26, 2024 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Barcelona
  • Vinicius Junior 80' yellowcard
  • Eder Militao 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Casado Torras 44'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 54'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 56'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 69'
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 75'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 77'
  • yellowcard Inaki Pena 82'
  • goal Raphinha 84'
  • yellowcard Gavi 90'
Club Friendlies 1
Real Madrid
Aug 4, 2024 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT MetLife Stadium
Barcelona
  • Mario Martin Rielves 76' yellowcard
  • Mario Martin Rielves 76' yellowcard
  • Nico Paz 82' goal
  • Nico Paz 82' goal
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90' yellowcard
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90' yellowcard
  • goal Pau Victor Delgado 42'
  • goal Pau Victor Delgado 42'
  • goal Pau Victor Delgado 54'
  • goal Pau Victor Delgado 54'
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal Casas 67'
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal Casas 67'
  • yellowcard Hector Fort 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Hector Fort 90'+2'

Form Data

Barcelona 5 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Espanyol 0 - 2 Barcelona
Villarreal 0 - 2 Barcelona
Guadalajara 0 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 2 - 0 Osasuna
Barcelona 2 - 1 Frankfurt
Atletico 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 5 - 1 Betis
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Sevilla
Talavera 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Alaves 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Man City

Build-up

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