Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.92%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 21.48% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (5.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.