La Liga
Real Madrid
Dec 20, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Sevilla
  • Jude Bellingham 38' goal
  • Rodrygo 41' yellowcard
  • Raul Asencio del Rosario 60' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Angel Carmona 34'
  • yellowcard Matias Almeyda 35'
  • yellowcard Marcao 37'
  • yellowcard Marcao 68'
  • yellowcard Lucien Agoume 70'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sow 90'+1'

Real Madrid vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 8.00pm
Alaves 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 1.00pm
Sevilla 4 - 0 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Djibril Sow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.92%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 21.48% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (5.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Real Madrid 57.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 20.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Sevilla 21.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.36%

Goals

Over 2.5 65.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 34.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 43.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 56.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 24.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 75.18% ▼ (-0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 88.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 11.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 62.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.24% ▼ (-0.01)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 70.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 57.92%
Draw 20.6%
Sevilla 21.48%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 4.23%
4-1 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 57.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.6%
Sevilla
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-1 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 21.48%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 37
Sevilla
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Real Madrid
  • Loic Bade 12' redcard
  • Isaac Romero 48' redcard
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 66'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 75'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 87'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Real Madrid
Dec 22, 2024 3.15pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla
  • Kylian Mbappe 10' goal
  • Federico Valverde 20' goal
  • Rodrygo 34' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 53' goal
  • Federico Valverde 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 12'
  • goal Isaac Romero 35'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 76'
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 85'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Real Madrid
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla
  • Lucas Vazquez 10' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 13' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 35' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 81' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 70'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sow 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Sevilla
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Real Madrid
  • David Alaba 74' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Jesus Navas 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 85' yellowcard
  • Boubakary Soumare 87' yellowcard
  • Erik Lamela 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Valverde 4'
  • goal Dani Carvajal 78'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 85'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 85'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 37
Sevilla
May 27, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Real Madrid
  • Rafa Mir 3' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 29'
  • goal Rodrygo 69'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
Oct 22, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Sevilla
  • Luka Modric 5' goal
  • Lucas Vazquez 79' goal
  • Federico Valverde 81' goal
  • goal Erik Lamela 54'

Form Data

Talavera 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Alaves 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Man City
Real Madrid 0 - 2 Celta Vigo
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Girona 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Alaves 1 - 0 Sevilla
Sevilla 4 - 0 Real Oviedo
Valencia 1 - 1 Sevilla
Extremadura 1924 1 - 2 Sevilla
Sevilla 0 - 2 Betis
Espanyol 2 - 1 Sevilla

Build-up

Result
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