Copa del Rey
Dec 17, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Eduardo Gallardo Rodríguez 38' yellowcard
  • Edu Gallardo 38' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Arroyo 80' goal
  • Gonzalo Di Renzo 90'+1' goal
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 41'
  • goal Manuel Farrando 45'+1' (OG)
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 88'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 90'

Talavera de la Reina vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Talavera de la Reina

All competitions

Real Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 75.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.13% and a win for Talavera de la Reina had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.49%) and 0-3 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%) , while for a Talavera de la Reina win it was 1-0 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Talavera de la Reina 8.76% (+0.34)
Draw 16.13% (+0.48)
Real Madrid 75.11% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.02% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.1% (-1.11)
Under 2.5 41.9% (+1.11)
Over 3.5 35.69% (-1.13)
Under 3.5 64.3% (+1.13)
Over 4.5 18.79% (-0.86)
Under 4.5 81.21% (+0.86)

Talavera de la Reina Goals

Over 0.5 48.65% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 51.34% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 14.43% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 85.57% (-0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 90.48% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 9.52% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 68.1% (-1.12)
Under 1.5 31.9% (+1.12)

Score analysis

Talavera de la Reina 8.76%
Draw 16.13%
Real Madrid 75.09%
Talavera de la Reina
1-0 @ 3.26% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 2.55% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 1.09% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 8.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.66% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 4.89% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 3% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 16.13%
Real Madrid
0-2 @ 13.51% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 11.49% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 10.59% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 9.01% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 7.07% (-0.10)
0-4 @ 6.23% (-0.22)
1-4 @ 4.15% (-0.15)
0-5 @ 2.93% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.95% (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.05)
0-6 @ 1.15% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 75.09%