Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2026 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • George Ilenikhena 62' yellowcard
  • George Ilenikhena 63' yellowcard
  • Vanderson 70' yellowcard
  • Ansu Fati 70' yellowcard
  • Ansu Fati 71' yellowcard
  • Ansu Fati 76' goal
  • Paris Brunner 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Bamba Dieng 68'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Bamba 75'
  • yellowcard Karim Dermane 75'
  • goal Jean-Victor Makengo 85'
  • goal Karim Dermane 87'
  • yellowcard Joel Mvuka 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Adjei 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Adjei 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Martin Bley 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Martin Bley 90'+6'

Monaco vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 4.00pm
Monaco 1 - 3 Lyon
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Ansu Fati

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 4.15pm
Lorient 1 - 1 Metz
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Pablo Pagis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Monaco 41.98%
Draw 23.05% (+0.02)
Lorient 34.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.81% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.96% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 24.04% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 53.26% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.78% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.22% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 18.84% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.16% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Monaco 25.37% (+0.22)
Draw 40.82% (+0.21)
Lorient 33.8% (-0.43)

Team To Score First

Monaco 42.09% (+0.06)
No Goal 6.64%
Lorient 51.27% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 52.82%
Equal 8 12.57%
Under 8 34.62% (+0.01)
Over 9 40.47% (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.34%
Under 9 47.19% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 29.43% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.57% (+0.01)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 40.83% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 59.17% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 18.21% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.79% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.45% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.55% (+0.04)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 65.22% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.78% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.7% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.94%
Under 2.5 83.06%
Over 3.5 6.43%
Under 3.5 93.57%

Score analysis

Monaco 41.98%
Draw 23.03%
Lorient 34.98%
Monaco
1-0 @ 10.13% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.56%
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.27% (-0.04)
Total : 41.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.03%
Lorient
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.7%
Other @ 6.25%
Total : 34.98%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Sep 27, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Formose Mendy 27' goal
  • Takumi Minamino 54' yellowcard
  • Youssouf Fofana 60' goal
  • Denis Zakaria 62' yellowcard
  • Denis Zakaria 81' redcard
  • goal Wilfried Singo 1' (OG)
  • yellowcard Formose Mendy 71'
  • redcard Tosin Aiyegun 89'
  • goal Tiemoue Bakayoko 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Tosin Aiyegun 2' goal
  • Romain Faivre 90'+8' goal
  • goal Aleksandr Golovin 17'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 68'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 69'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Golovin 90'+8'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 4.05pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Krepin Diatta 14' goal
  • Aleksandr Golovin 27' goal
  • Kevin Volland 55' goal
  • goal Ibrahima Kone 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dango Ouattara 75' goal
  • Terem Moffi 77' goal
  • goal Breel Embolo 61'
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 13, 2022 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Caio Henrique 45' yellowcard
  • Ruben Aguilar 73' yellowcard
  • Maghnes Akliouche 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Quentin Boisgard 37'
  • yellowcard Armand Lauriente 81'