Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 4, 2026 at 4.15pm UK

Lorient
vs.
Metz

Coverage of the Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: AS Gosier 0-7 Lorient
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Biesheim 0-3 Metz
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lorient win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Metz has a probability of 28.58% and a draw has a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Metz win is 1-2 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.1%).

Result
Lorient	Draw	Metz
48.78%	22.64%	28.58%

Both teams to score 62.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.56%

37.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.34%

59.66%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32%

15.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.26%

44.73%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.69%

25.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.91%

60.08%

Score Analysis

Lorient 48.78%

Metz 28.58%

Draw 22.64%

Lorient	Draw	Metz
2-1 @ 9.36% 1-0 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.78%	1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.64%	1-2 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.58%