Copa del Rey
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
-
Javier Villar del Fraile
42'
-
Javi Villar
42'
-
Agus Medina
57'
-
Jefte Betancor
58'
-
Riki
58'
-
Jefté Betancor
58'
-
Riki Rodríguez
58'
-
Jonathan Gomez
74'
-
Jonathan Gómez
74'
-
Jose Sanchez Martinez
77'
-
Pepe Sánchez
77'
-
Jefte Betancor
82'
-
Jefté Betancor
82'
-
Jefte Betancor
90'+4'
-
Jefté Betancor
90'+4'
-
Franco Mastantuono
45'+3'
-
David Alaba
65'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
65'
-
Dani Carvajal
77'
-
Cesar Palacios
77'
-
Daniel Carvajal
77'
-
César Palacios
77'
-
Manuel Angel
86'
-
Manuel Ángel Morán
86'
-
Gonzalo Garcia
90'+1'
-
Gonzalo García
90'+1'
Albacete vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Ficonsport-282408-0005-69680f381242b188030288.jpg)
The match
Result
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F08%2Falexander-arnold-6-68a4e0c0a7da7410698261.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Albacete win was 2-1 (5.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result
Albacete
24.89%
Draw
21.11%
Real Madrid
54%
Both Teams to Score:
57.83%
Goals
Over 1.5
82.43%
Under 1.5
17.57%
Over 2.5
63.06%
Under 2.5
36.94%
Over 3.5
40.8%
Under 3.5
59.2%
Over 4.5
25.57%
Under 4.5
74.43%
First Half Winner
Albacete
23.01%
Draw
36.29%
Real Madrid
40.7%
Team To Score First
Albacete
39.88%
No Goal
4.25%
Real Madrid
55.87%
Corners
Over 8
63.52%
Equal 8
10.14%
Under 8
26.34%
Over 9
52.73%
Equal 9
10.79%
Under 9
36.48%
Over 10.5
42.13%
Under 10.5
57.87%
Albacete Goals
Over 1.5
31.64%
Under 1.5
68.36%
Over 2.5
12.55%
Under 2.5
87.45%
Over 3.5
3.8%
Under 3.5
96.2%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
82.36%
Under 0.5
17.64%
Over 1.5
56.77%
Under 1.5
43.23%
Over 2.5
30.98%
Under 2.5
69.02%
Over 3.5
14.14%
Under 3.5
85.86%
Score analysis
Albacete
24.89%
Draw
21.12%
Real Madrid
54.02%
Albacete
2-1
@
5.98%
1-0 @ 5.29%
2-0 @ 3.13%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 24.89%
1-0 @ 5.29%
2-0 @ 3.13%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 24.89%
Draw
1-1
@
8.65%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.12%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.12%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
9.47%
0-1 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 7.57%
1-3 @ 6.19%
0-3 @ 5.19%
2-3 @ 3.82%
Other @ 13.72%
Total : 54.02%
0-1 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 7.57%
1-3 @ 6.19%
0-3 @ 5.19%
2-3 @ 3.82%
Other @ 13.72%
Total : 54.02%