Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 2-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.