Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2026 4.00pm
Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FC vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 4.15pm
Paris FC 0 - 0 Angers
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Ilan Kebbal

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 8.05pm
Marseille 3 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Paris FC has a probability of 29.72% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Paris FC win is 2-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.89%).

Result

Paris FC 29.72% (+0.10)
Draw 23.2% (+0.04)
Marseille 47.11% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.23% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.8% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 16.2% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 63.87% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 36.13% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 41.31% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 58.69% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 25.98% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 74.02% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Paris FC 25.19% (-0.05)
Draw 38.82% (+0.10)
Marseille 35.98% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Paris FC 44.03% (+0.25)
No Goal 4.38%
Marseille 51.59% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 49.51% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 39.11% (+0.15)
Over 9 38.62% (-0.15)
Equal 9 10.89% (-0.01)
Under 9 50.49% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 29% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 71% (+0.11)

Paris FC Goals

Over 1.5 37.23% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 62.77% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 16.09% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 83.91% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.46% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.54% (-0.06)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 79.29% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 20.71% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 52.45% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 47.55% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 27.53% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 72.47% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.13% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 87.87% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Paris FC 29.73%
Draw 23.19%
Marseille 47.1%
Paris FC
2-1 @ 6.91%
1-0 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.97% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.16%
Other @ 5% (+0.06)
Total : 29.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.46% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.38%
3-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.19%
Marseille
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.17% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 11.67% (-0.06)
Total : 47.1%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 23, 2025 4.00pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT