Ligue 1
Jan 31, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Jean Bouin
  • Marshall Munetsi 46' yellowcard
  • Luca Koleosho 64' yellowcard
  • Tuomas Ollila 64' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Ikoné 64' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Ikoné 82' goal
  • Willem Geubbels 86' yellowcard
  • Ilan Kebbal 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 18'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 53'
  • yellowcard Hamed Junior Traoré 67'
  • yellowcard Amine Gouiri 67'
  • yellowcard Bilal Nadir 79'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 79'
  • yellowcard Amir Murillo 80'

Paris FC vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 4.15pm
Paris FC 0 - 0 Angers
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 8.05pm
Marseille 3 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Igor Paixao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 2-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Paris FC 31.55% (-0.03)
Draw 23.61% (+0.10)
Marseille 44.81% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.09% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.16% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 17.84% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 61.72% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 38.28% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 40.11% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 59.89% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 24.27% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 75.73% (+0.58)

First Half Winner

Paris FC 26.44%
Draw 39.22%
Marseille 34.34%

Team To Score First

Paris FC 45.82% (-0.05)
No Goal 4.75% (+0.10)
Marseille 49.43% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 50.12%
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 38.57%
Over 9 39.26%
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 49.88%
Over 10.5 29.6%
Under 10.5 70.4%

Paris FC Goals

Over 1.5 38.41% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 61.59% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 16.65% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 83.35% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 5.93% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 94.07% (+0.20)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 77.48% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 22.52% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 49.61% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 50.39% (+0.39)
Over 2.5 24.58% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 75.42% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 9.76% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 90.24% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Paris FC 31.54%
Draw 23.61%
Marseille 44.81%
Paris FC
2-1 @ 6.92% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.92% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.35% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.56% (-0.19)
Total : 31.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.75% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.37% (-0.03)
Total : 23.61%
Marseille
1-2 @ 9.32% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.13% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 6.08% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.94% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.39% (-0.21)
Total : 44.81%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 23, 2025 4.00pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT