Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2026 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Johann Lepenant 18' yellowcard
  • Matthis Abline 50' goal
  • Ignatius Ganago 65' yellowcard
  • Bahereba Guirassy 65' yellowcard
  • Herba Guirassy 65' yellowcard
  • Amady Camara 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ilan Kebbal 6'
  • yellowcard Luca Koleosho 66'
  • yellowcard Luca Koleosho 67'
  • goal Luca Koleosho 78'
  • yellowcard Vincent Marchetti 81'
  • yellowcard Marshall Munetsi 87'

Nantes vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 2.00pm
Marseille 0 - 2 Nantes
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Fabien Centonze

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 7.45pm
PSG 2 - 1 Paris FC
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Ilan Kebbal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.56% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%) , while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Nantes 25.1% (-0.43)
Draw 26.56% (+0.38)
Paris FC 48.35% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.13% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.67% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 29.33% (+0.81)
Over 2.5 45% (-0.94)
Under 2.5 55% (+0.94)
Over 3.5 24.22% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 75.78% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 12.62% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 87.38% (+0.48)

First Half Winner

Nantes 23.78% (-0.24)
Draw 42.11% (+0.25)
Paris FC 34.1% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Nantes 36.72% (-0.54)
No Goal 8.37% (+0.34)
Paris FC 54.91% (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 47.93% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.95%
Under 8 40.12% (+0.28)
Over 9 36.66% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.28% (-0.03)
Under 9 52.07% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 26.86% (-0.20)
Under 10.5 73.14% (+0.21)

Nantes Goals

Over 1.5 25.02% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 74.98% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 7.48% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 92.52% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 1.93% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 98.07% (+0.17)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 76.2% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 23.8% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 42.85% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 57.15% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 18.14% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 81.86% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 5.82% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 94.18% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Nantes 25.11%
Draw 26.56%
Paris FC 48.34%
Nantes
1-0 @ 8.38% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.88% (-0.17)
Total : 25.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 8.37% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 26.56%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 12.59% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 9.09% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.77% (-0.17)
Total : 48.34%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 24, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Coupe de la Ligue Gameweek 16
Oct 30, 2019 8.05pm
8
0
HT : 5 0
FT
  • Moses Simon 22' goal
  • Elie Youan 30' goal
  • Moses Simon 35' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 36' goal
  • Moses Simon 43' goal
  • Imran Louza 47' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 63' goal
  • Thomas Basila 67' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Abeid 84' goal
  • yellowcard Felipe Saad 42'