Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2026 7.45pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 7.45pm
Strasbourg 1 - 2 PSG
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 4.00pm
Paris FC 2 - 2 Marseille
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 26.13% and a draw has a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Marseille win is 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.56%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 51.25% (+0.89)
Draw 22.62% (+0.17)
Marseille 26.13% (-1.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.24% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.39% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 16.61% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 62.94% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 37.06% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 41.62% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 58.38% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 25.22% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 74.78% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 43.86% (+0.02)
Draw 30.94% (+0.37)
Marseille 25.21% (-0.37)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 57.5% (+0.91)
No Goal 3.98% (+0.11)
Marseille 38.52% (-1.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.41% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.88% (+0.09)
Under 8 32.71% (-0.09)
Over 9 45.44% (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.98% (+0.09)
Under 9 43.59% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 35.21% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 64.79% (+0.13)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 55.91% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 44.09% (-0.69)
Over 2.5 29.26% (+0.62)
Under 2.5 70.74% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 12.64% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 87.36% (-0.18)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 64.2% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 35.8% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 33.95% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 66.05% (+0.88)
Over 2.5 13.05% (-0.55)
Under 2.5 86.95% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 4.09% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.91% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 51.23%
Draw 22.62%
Marseille 26.13%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.1% (+0.18)
1-0 @ 7.59% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.42% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.57% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.45% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.76% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.34% (+0.10)
Total : 51.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.94% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.98% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.84% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.07)
Total : 22.62%
Marseille
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.79% (-0.27)
Total : 26.13%

Head to Head

Trophee des Champions Gameweek 29
Jan 8, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
ET Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium
  • Ousmane Dembele 13' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 72' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 89' yellowcard
  • Senny Mayulu 89' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 90' yellowcard
  • Senny Mayulu 90' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 67'
  • yellowcard Hamed Traore 67'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 68'
  • yellowcard Hamed Traore 68'
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 76'
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 77'
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 78'
  • goal William Pacho 87' (OG)
  • yellowcard Matt O'Riley 90'
  • yellowcard Matt O'Riley 90'+2'
Ligue 1
Sep 22, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 17' goal
  • Nuno Mendes 26' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 42' goal
  • Pol Lirola 76' goal
  • goal Amine Gouiri 51'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 18' yellowcard
  • Amine Harit 20' redcard
  • goal Joao Neves 7'
  • goal Leonardo Balerdi 29' (OG)
  • goal Bradley Barcola 40'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 15'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 38'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 40'
  • redcard Lucas Beraldo 40'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 45'
  • goal Vitinha 53'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
  • Achraf Hakimi 8' goal
  • Randal Kolo 37' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 47' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 89' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Gigot 73'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 82'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 85'