Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 2-1 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.