Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2026 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Océane
  • Fodé Doucouré 61' yellowcard
  • Enzo Koffi Vinette 62' yellowcard
  • Kenny Quetant 71' yellowcard
  • Yassine Kechta 84' yellowcard
  • Ally Samatta 84' yellowcard
  • Ally Samatta 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bradley Barcola 37'
  • yellowcard Désiré Doué 61'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 61'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Mbaye 71'
  • yellowcard Désiré Doué 79'

Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.15pm
Nantes 2 - 0 Le Havre
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Issa Soumare

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.05pm
PSG 3 - 0 Metz
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.24% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 12.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.69%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%) , while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Le Havre 12.31% (+0.14)
Draw 19.24% (+0.07)
Paris Saint-Germain 68.45% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.24% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.88% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.12% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.75% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 44.25% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 34.65% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.35% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 23.67% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 76.33% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Le Havre 16.08%
Draw 35.66%
Paris Saint-Germain 48.26%

Team To Score First

Le Havre 25.01% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.21% (-0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 68.78% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.11% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 30.63% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.6% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 41.89% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.8% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 64.2% (+0.02)

Le Havre Goals

Over 1.5 15.84% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 84.16% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 4.31% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.69% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.07% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.93% (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 86.68% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 13.32% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 62.43% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 37.57% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 36.43% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 63.57% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 17.76% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 82.24% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Le Havre 12.29%
Draw 19.24%
Paris Saint-Germain 68.45%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 4.2% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 3.17% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.92% (+0.02)
Total : 12.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.38% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.63% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 19.24%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-2 @ 12.13% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 11.69% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.22% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 8.37% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 6.33% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.1% (+0.04)
Other @ 17.61% (-0.11)
Total : 68.45%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 22, 2025 8.05pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Desire Doue 8' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 50' goal
  • goal Issa Soumare 60'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • Etienne Youte Kinkoue 15' yellowcard
  • Gautier Lloris 48' goal
  • Antoine Joujou 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Gautier Lloris 88' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Kang-in 3'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 85'
  • goal Bradley Barcola 86'
  • goal Randal Kolo 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Parc des Princes
  • Bradley Barcola 29' goal
  • Warren Zaire-Emery 74' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 78' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+5' goal
  • goal Christopher Operi 19'
  • goal Andre Ayew 38'
  • goal Abdoulaye Toure 61'
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • Christopher Operi 68' yellowcard
  • Nabil Alioui 76' yellowcard
  • redcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 10'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 23'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 87'
  • goal Vitinha 89'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 21, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Campus Sportcentrum Ternat
  • Hugo Ekitike 53' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+1' goal