Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.82% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.