Ligue 1
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Océane
  • Issa Soumaré 43' goal
  • Lionel Mpasi-Nzau 46' yellowcard
  • Issa Soumaré 53' goal
  • Daren Mosengo 65' yellowcard
  • Ally Samatta 65' yellowcard
  • Timothée Pembélé 84' yellowcard
  • Yassine Kechta 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Hidalgo 30'
  • goal Djibril Sidibé 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jacen Russell-Rowe 62'
  • yellowcard Dayann Methalie 62'
  • yellowcard Mario Sauer 63'
  • yellowcard Julián Vignolo 83'

Le Havre vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 4.15pm
Le Havre 2 - 1 Strasbourg
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Issa Soumare

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 4.15pm
Angers 1 - 0 Toulouse
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.82% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Le Havre 24.43% (+0.11)
Draw 26.82% (-0.04)
Toulouse 48.75% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.24% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.57% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 29.43% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 44.83% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 55.17% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 23.54% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 76.46% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 12.31% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.69% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Le Havre 20.9%
Draw 42.38%
Toulouse 36.72%

Team To Score First

Le Havre 33.71% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.65% (-0.05)
Toulouse 57.64% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.52%
Equal 8 12.54%
Under 8 35.94%
Over 9 39.34%
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 48.48%
Over 10.5 28.55%
Under 10.5 71.45%

Le Havre Goals

Over 1.5 24.01% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 75.99% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 7.14% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 92.86% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.75% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.25% (-0.04)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 76.27% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.73% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 43.35% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 56.65% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 18.44% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 81.56% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.16% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.84% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Le Havre 24.43%
Draw 26.83%
Toulouse 48.74%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.95% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.61% (+0.04)
Total : 24.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.83%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 12.49% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 9.51% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.21% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.02% (+0.02)
Total : 48.74%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 2, 2025 4.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 4.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • Issa Soumare 51' goal
  • Junior Mwanga 59' redcard
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 9'
  • goal Vincent Sierro 56'
  • goal Aron Donnum 63'
  • yellowcard Vincent Sierro 73'
  • goal Frank Magri 78'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • J 53' yellowcard
  • Shavy Babicka 70' goal
  • Yann Gboho 86' goal
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 57'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Christopher Operi 60' goal
  • Christopher Operi 84' yellowcard
  • Steve Ngoura 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Keben 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Logan Costa 30' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 49' goal
  • Niklas Schmidt 45'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josue Casimir 45'+2'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 83'
  • yellowcard Rassoul N'Diaye 85'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 90'+6'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 25
Feb 21, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stijn Spierings 19' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 23' goal
  • Ado Onaiwu 27' goal
  • Branco van den Boomen 48' goal
  • Rhys Healey 71' yellowcard
  • Nathan N'Goumou 80' goal
  • yellowcard Victor Lekhal 22'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Bonnet 47'