Ligue 1
Jan 25, 2026 4.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Pathé Mboup 46' yellowcard
  • Junior Dina Ebimbe 73' yellowcard
  • Hamidou Makalou 83' yellowcard
  • goal Pape Demba Diop 27'
  • goal Yann Gboho 43'
  • yellowcard Julián Vignolo 80'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vossah 90'

Brest vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 7.45pm
Lyon 2 - 1 Brest
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 6.00pm
Toulouse 5 - 1 Nice
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Santiago Hidalgo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Brest has a probability of 34.68% and a draw has a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Brest win is 1-0 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.74%).

Result

Brest 34.68% (+0.05)
Draw 26.21% (+0.04)
Toulouse 39.14% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.57% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.84% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.16% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.53% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.47% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.24% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.76% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.84% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.16% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Brest 26.73% (+0.09)
Draw 43.13%
Toulouse 30.14% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Brest 42.31% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.32% (+0.05)
Toulouse 50.37% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.43% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.83% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.74% (-0.03)
Over 9 47.19% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.24% (-0.02)
Under 9 40.57% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.64% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.36% (-0.05)

Brest Goals

Over 1.5 33.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.02% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 12.59% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.41% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.74%
Under 3.5 96.26%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 71.51% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 28.49% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 37.88% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.12% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.78% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.22% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.62% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.38% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Brest 34.69%
Draw 26.22%
Toulouse 39.14%
Brest
1-0 @ 9.23% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.82% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.26%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.22%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.61% (-0.02)
Total : 39.14%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 24, 2025 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Vincent Sierro 65' goal
  • Joshua King 78' goal
  • goal Justin Bourgault 22'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 24'
  • goal Mathias Pereira Lage 26'
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 28'
  • goal Kamory Doumbia 62'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 68'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 86'
  • yellowcard Tolikpaley Luc Evrad Zogbe 87'
  • goal Mahdi Camara 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mama Balde 21' goal
  • Mathias Pereira Lage 34' yellowcard
  • Eric Roy 36' redcard
  • Eric Roy 36' yellowcard
  • Romain Faivre 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 19'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Christian Mawissa 53' yellowcard
  • goal Mahdi Camara 48'
  • goal Jordan Amavi 54'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 79'
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 83'
  • goal Kenny Lala 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mahdi Camara 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 70' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 10'
  • goal Frank Magri 27'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 79'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 2, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Steve Mounie 33' goal
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 63' goal
  • Mahdi Camara 84' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 10'