Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 6.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Santiago Hidalgo 7' goal
  • Frank Magri 45' goal
  • Santiago Hidalgo 55' goal
  • Cristian Cásseres Jr. 56' yellowcard
  • Cristian Cásseres Jr. 74' goal
  • Julián Vignolo 75' yellowcard
  • Julián Vignolo 80' goal
  • Seny Koumbassa 82' yellowcard
  • Mario Sauer 82' yellowcard
  • Noah Edjouma 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Gouveia 46'
  • yellowcard Mohamed-Ali Cho 46'
  • goal Elye Wahi 49'
  • yellowcard Kevin Carlos 67'
  • yellowcard Ali Abdi 70'
  • yellowcard Charles Vanhoutte 82'

Toulouse vs Nice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Jan 2, 2026 7.45pm
Toulouse 0 - 3 Lens
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Santiago Hidalgo

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 6.00pm
Nice 1 - 1 Strasbourg
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%).

Result

Toulouse 41.99% (+0.11)
Draw 26.56%
Nice 31.48% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.47% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.89%
Under 1.5 25.11%
Over 2.5 50.27% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 49.73% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 28.82% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 71.15% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.61% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.39% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 33.55%
Draw 43.18%
Nice 23.27%

Team To Score First

Toulouse 53.32% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.78% (+0.03)
Nice 39.9% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.63%
Equal 8 11.65%
Under 8 35.72%
Over 9 41.23%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 47.37%
Over 10.5 30.96%
Under 10.5 69.04%

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 41.43% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.57% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.42% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.58% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.23% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.77% (-0.02)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5 66.68% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 33.32% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 32.89% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 67.11% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.22% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 87.78% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.59% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.41% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Toulouse 42%
Draw 26.57%
Nice 31.48%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 10.09% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.09% (+0.01)
Total : 42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.57%
Nice
0-1 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.45% (-0.03)
Total : 31.48%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 16, 2025 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Miha Zajc 76' yellowcard
  • Mark McKenzie 85' goal
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Gaetan Laborde 18'
  • yellowcard Hicham Boudaoui 63'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Ndayishimiye 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Melvin Bard 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pablo Rosario 50' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Clauss 53' goal
  • Aron Donnum 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dante 56'
  • goal Shavy Babicka 73'
  • yellowcard Antoine Mendy 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Logan Costa 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 65' goal
  • Yann Gboho 69' goal
  • Stijn Spierings 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khephren Thuram 2'
  • goal Terem Moffi 8'
  • yellowcard Terem Moffi 50'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Terem Moffi 54' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 33'
  • yellowcard Mamady Bangre 81'
  • yellowcard Mikkel Desler 83'
  • yellowcard Cesar Gelabert 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT