Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%).