Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%) , while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.