Champions League
Feb 17, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Louis II.

Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Monaco has a probability of 28.81% and a draw has a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.13%) and 0-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Monaco win is 2-1 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.89%).

Result

Monaco 28.81%
Draw 21.03% (-0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 50.15% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.13% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.82% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 16.18% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 64.23% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 35.77% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 42.23% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 57.77% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 27.22% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 72.78% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Monaco 20.75% (-0.27)
Draw 36.69% (-0.11)
Paris Saint-Germain 42.55% (+0.36)

Team To Score First

Monaco 36.34% (-0.23)
No Goal 3.83% (-0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 59.83% (+0.24)

Corners

Over 8 52.36% (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.91% (-0.03)
Under 8 35.73% (-0.33)
Over 9 40.74% (+0.36)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.64% (-0.36)
Over 10.5 30.31% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 69.69% (-0.33)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 35.89% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.11% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.51% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.49% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.3% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.7% (-0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 80.21% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.79% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 54.47% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 45.53% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 29.13% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 70.87% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 13.09% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 86.91% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Monaco 28.82%
Draw 21.03%
Paris Saint-Germain 50.17%
Monaco
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.03% (-0.02)
Total : 28.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.89% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.98% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.27% (+0.04)
Total : 21.03%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.17% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.13% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.72% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.82% (+0.08)
Total : 50.17%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 29, 2025 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lamine Camara 12' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 68' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 78' yellowcard
  • Thilo Kehrer 80' redcard
  • Sebastien Pocognoli 87' yellowcard
  • Krepin Diatta 88' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Pocognoli 88' yellowcard
  • Jordan Teze 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinha 33'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 8.05pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Vitinha 6' goal
  • Desire Doue 28' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 54' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 57' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 90' goal
  • goal Denis Zakaria 17'
Trophee des Champions
Jan 5, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium 974
  • Nuno Mendes 23' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 87' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Vanderson 35'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wilfried Singo 13' yellowcard
  • Lamine Camara 29' yellowcard
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir 53' goal
  • Breel Embolo 60' goal
  • Adi Hutter 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Desire Doue 24'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 64'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 83'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2023 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Goncalo Ramos 18' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 39' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 70' goal
  • Vitinha 72' goal
  • Randal Kolo 90'+6' goal
  • goal Takumi Minamino 22'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Singo 59'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 75'