Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2026 8.05pm
Stade Louis II.

Monaco vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
Nice 0 - 0 Monaco
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Ansu Fati

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 8.05pm
Nantes 0 - 1 Lyon
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Youssef El-Arabi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monaco win with a probability of 60.06%. A draw has a probability of 22.42% and a win for Nantes has a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.62%) , while for a Nantes win it is 0-1 (5.55%).

Result

Monaco 60.06% (+0.04)
Draw 22.42% (-0.02)
Nantes 17.52% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.11% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.98% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.02% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.7% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.3% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.34% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.01% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.99% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Monaco 43.53% (+0.01)
Draw 37.3% (+0.03)
Nantes 19.17% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Monaco 60.29%
No Goal 6.77% (-0.03)
Nantes 32.94% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.6% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 35.32% (+0.01)
Over 9 40.78% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 47.4% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 30.18%
Under 10.5 69.82%

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 53.73% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 46.27% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 27.52% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 72.48% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.59% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 88.41% (-0.05)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 51.49% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 48.51% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 19.99% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.01% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.52% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 94.48% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.41% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.59% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Monaco 60.06%
Draw 22.44%
Nantes 17.51%
Monaco
1-0 @ 12.71% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.06% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 11.58% (+0.05)
Total : 60.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.44%
Nantes
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.57% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.4% (-0.03)
Total : 17.51%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 29, 2025 8.05pm
3
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 6.00pm
7
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Mika Biereth 44' goal
  • Takumi Minamino 45' goal
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir 49' goal
  • Mika Biereth 54' goal
  • Mika Biereth 64' goal
  • George Ilenikhena 81' goal
  • Denis Zakaria 85' yellowcard
  • George Ilenikhena 90'+5' goal
  • goal Matthis Abline 4'
  • redcard Nicolas Cozza 8'
  • yellowcard Matthis Abline 45'
  • yellowcard 74'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2025 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Matthis Abline 12' goal
  • Kelvin Amian 47' goal
  • Sorba Thomas 53' yellowcard
  • Johann Lepenant 87' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Pallois 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Breel Embolo 52'
  • goal Mohammed Salisu 59'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wissam Ben Yedder 6' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 10' goal
  • Soungoutou Magassa 21' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Camara 24' goal
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir 61' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Amian 36'
  • yellowcard Moussa Sissoko 41'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Mostafa Mohamed 5' goal
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto 7' yellowcard
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto 15' goal
  • Mostafa Mohamed 48' goal
  • Samuel Moutoussamy 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilfried Singo 9'
  • goal Takumi Minamino 27'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Golovin 54'
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 58'
  • goal Myron Boadu 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 4.05pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Mostafa Mohamed 65' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 78' goal
  • goal Axel Disasi 21'
  • goal Eliot Matazo 30'