Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.44% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.