Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 8.05pm
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
Lorient 2 - 1 Nantes
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Youssef El-Arabi

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.00pm
Lyon 0 - 0 Lille
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Abner Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw has a probability of 22.15% and a win for Nantes has a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a Nantes win it is 1-0 (5.47%).

Result

Nantes 17.15% (+0.53)
Draw 22.15% (+0.18)
Lyon 60.7% (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.2% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.49% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 22.51% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 54.56% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 45.44% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.04% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 66.96% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.39% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 79.61% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Nantes 16.54% (+0.02)
Draw 37.19% (+0.02)
Lyon 46.27% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Nantes 29.5% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.18% (+0.01)
Lyon 64.32% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.15% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 33.95% (-0.04)
Over 9 42.36% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.79% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.85% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 31.66% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 68.34% (-0.04)

Nantes Goals

Over 1.5 20.89% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 79.11% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 5.81% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 94.19% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 1.39% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.61% (-0.07)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 83.97% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 16.03% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 57.18% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 42.82% (+0.57)
Over 2.5 30.68% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 69.32% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 13.54% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 86.46% (+0.26)

Score analysis

Nantes 17.15%
Draw 22.14%
Lyon 60.71%
Nantes
1-0 @ 5.47% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 4.51% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 2.46% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.45% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.34% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.29% (+0.08)
Total : 17.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 22.14%
Lyon
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 10.5% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.6% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 6.32% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 13.44% (-0.25)
Total : 60.71%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 30, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Abner Vinicius 51' goal
  • Tyler Morton 57' yellowcard
  • Tyler Morton 58' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 70' goal
  • Martin Satriano 77' goal
  • yellowcard Tylel Tati 22'
  • yellowcard Junior Mwanga 40'
  • yellowcard Junior Mwanga 41'
  • redcard Junior Mwanga 43'
  • yellowcard Johann Lepenant 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Nicolas Pallois 41' yellowcard
  • Florent Mollet 57' yellowcard
  • Mostafa Mohamed 90' goal
  • Marcus Coco 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ernest Nuamah 10'
  • yellowcard Clinton Mata 59'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Gerard Houllier
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 22' goal
  • Nicolas Pallois 54' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Cozza 61'
  • yellowcard Douglas 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Matthis Abline 16' goal
  • Eray Comert 18' yellowcard
  • Antoine Kombouare 19' yellowcard
  • Mostafa Mohamed 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexandre Lacazette 53'
  • yellowcard Ernest Nuamah 71'
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 75'
  • goal Malick Fofana 77'
  • goal Gift Orban 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Alexandre Lacazette 49' goal
  • Dejan Lovren 84' redcard
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabien Centonze 8'
  • yellowcard Jean-Kevin Duverne 31'
Coupe de France
Apr 5, 2023 8.10pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Ludovic Blas 57' goal