Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Youssef El-Arabi 46' yellowcard
  • Youssef El Arabi 46' yellowcard
  • Deiver Machado 63' yellowcard
  • Francis Coquelin 71' yellowcard
  • Abakar Sylla 71' yellowcard
  • Abakar Sylla 72' yellowcard
  • Francis Coquelin 73' yellowcard
  • Bahereba Guirassy 88' yellowcard
  • Herba Guirassy 88' yellowcard
  • goal Pavel Sulc 25'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 86'
  • yellowcard Khalis Merah 90'+4'

Nantes vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
Lorient 2 - 1 Nantes
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Fabien Centonze

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.00pm
Lyon 1 - 0 Lille
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pavel Sulc

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.18% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Nantes 16.67% (-0.48)
Draw 22.18%
Lyon 61.08% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.81% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.09% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 22.91% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 54.09% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 45.91% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 32.41% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 67.59% (+0.64)
Over 4.5 19.98% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 80.02% (+0.40)

First Half Winner

Nantes 16.27% (-0.27)
Draw 37.49% (+0.31)
Lyon 46.24% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Nantes 28.52% (-0.99)
No Goal 6.13% (-0.05)
Lyon 65.35% (+1.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.84% (-0.31)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.25% (+0.30)
Over 9 42.08% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.76% (-0.03)
Under 9 46.16% (+0.31)
Over 10.5 31.41% (-0.25)
Under 10.5 68.59% (+0.25)

Nantes Goals

Over 1.5 20.43% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 79.57% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 5.52% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 94.48% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 1.3% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.7% (+0.10)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 84.32% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 15.68% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 56.93% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 43.07% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 30.57% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 69.43% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 13.42% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 86.58% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Nantes 16.66%
Draw 22.18%
Lyon 61.08%
Nantes
1-0 @ 5.34% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 4.58% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 2.34% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.16% (-0.13)
Total : 16.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.04)
Total : 22.18%
Lyon
0-1 @ 11.36% (+0.50)
0-2 @ 10.57% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 6.76% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 6.25% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.07)
Other @ 13.28% (-0.16)
Total : 61.08%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 30, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Abner Vinicius 51' goal
  • Tyler Morton 57' yellowcard
  • Tyler Morton 58' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 70' goal
  • Martin Satriano 77' goal
  • yellowcard Tylel Tati 22'
  • yellowcard Junior Mwanga 40'
  • yellowcard Junior Mwanga 41'
  • redcard Junior Mwanga 43'
  • yellowcard Johann Lepenant 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Nicolas Pallois 41' yellowcard
  • Florent Mollet 57' yellowcard
  • Mostafa Mohamed 90' goal
  • Marcus Coco 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ernest Nuamah 10'
  • yellowcard Clinton Mata 59'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Gerard Houllier
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 22' goal
  • Nicolas Pallois 54' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Cozza 61'
  • yellowcard Douglas 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Matthis Abline 16' goal
  • Eray Comert 18' yellowcard
  • Antoine Kombouare 19' yellowcard
  • Mostafa Mohamed 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexandre Lacazette 53'
  • yellowcard Ernest Nuamah 71'
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 75'
  • goal Malick Fofana 77'
  • goal Gift Orban 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Alexandre Lacazette 49' goal
  • Dejan Lovren 84' redcard
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabien Centonze 8'
  • yellowcard Jean-Kevin Duverne 31'
Coupe de France
Apr 5, 2023 8.10pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Ludovic Blas 57' goal