Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.18% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.