Europa League Gameweek 8
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
Groupama Stadium

Lyon vs PAOK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Lyon 2 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles

PAOK

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Ludogorets 3 - 3 PAOK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for PAOK has a probability of 30.85% and a draw has a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest PAOK win is 1-2 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.19%).

Result

Lyon 47.69%
Draw 21.46%
PAOK 30.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.02%
Under 1.5 16.98%
Over 2.5 64.05%
Under 2.5 35.95%
Over 3.5 40.25%
Under 3.5 59.75%
Over 4.5 26.3%
Under 4.5 73.7%

First Half Winner

Lyon 39.54%
Draw 38.88%
PAOK 21.58%

Team To Score First

Lyon 58.5%
No Goal 4.46%
PAOK 37.04%

Corners

Over 8 50.48%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 38.11%
Over 9 39.48%
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 49.52%
Over 10.5 29.7%
Under 10.5 70.3%

Lyon Goals

Over 1.5 50.91%
Under 1.5 49.09%
Over 2.5 26.59%
Under 2.5 73.41%
Over 3.5 11.53%
Under 3.5 88.47%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 65.93%
Under 0.5 34.07%
Over 1.5 37.35%
Under 1.5 62.65%
Over 2.5 16.93%
Under 2.5 83.07%
Over 3.5 6.68%
Under 3.5 93.32%

Score analysis

Lyon 47.69%
Draw 21.47%
PAOK 30.84%
Lyon
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 6.21%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 11.22%
Total : 47.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 4.46%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.47%
PAOK
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-1 @ 4.99%
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 6.37%
Total : 30.84%