Ludogorets
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 11, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
 
PAOK

3-3

Stanic (33'), Verdon (70'), Chochev (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Despodov (39'), Vogliacco (48'), Mythou (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ludogorets 3-3 PAOK
Thursday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Atromitos 2-0 PAOK
Sunday, December 14 at 4pm in Greek Superleague
Next Game: PAOK vs. Panathinaikos
Sunday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawPAOK
38.33%26.03%35.64%
Both teams to score 54.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66%50.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71%72.28%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31%25.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4%60.6%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77%27.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35%62.64%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 38.33%
    PAOK 35.64%
    Draw 26.02%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 6.46%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.64%