Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
Rennes 0 - 2 Lorient
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Sambou Soumano

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
Nantes 0 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Youssef El-Arabi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lorient win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw has a probability of 25.35% and a win for Nantes has a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Nantes win it is 0-1 (7.32%).

Result

Lorient 51.24% (+0.04)
Draw 25.35% (-0.05)
Nantes 23.41% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.34% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.43% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 26.57% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.01% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 50.99% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 26.94% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.06% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.27% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.73% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Lorient 42.08% (+0.16)
Draw 36.94% (-0.11)
Nantes 20.98% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Lorient 55.87% (+0.10)
No Goal 7.57% (-0.05)
Nantes 36.56% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 53.69% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.82% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.49% (-0.12)
Over 9 42.03% (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.66% (+0.02)
Under 9 46.31% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 31.47% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 68.53% (-0.08)

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 46.67% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 53.33% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 22.15% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 77.85% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 8.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.74% (-0.03)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 59.02% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.98% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.64% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.36% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.21%
Under 2.5 92.79%
Over 3.5 1.65% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.35% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lorient 51.26%
Draw 25.35%
Nantes 23.4%
Lorient
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.25% (+0.02)
Total : 51.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.35%
Nantes
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Total : 23.4%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 23, 2025 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Mostafa Mohamed 41' goal
  • goal Sambou Soumano 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • goal Jean-Charles Castelletto 49'
  • yellowcard Douglas 67'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pallois 69'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 4.00pm
5
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Matthis Abline 42' goal
  • Eray Comert 46' goal
  • Mostafa Mohamed 55' goal
  • Remy Descamps 81' yellowcard
  • Florent Mollet 83' goal
  • Moses Simon 90'+9' goal
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 6'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 53'
  • goal Romain Faivre 75'
  • goal Tosin Aiyegun 85'
  • yellowcard Romain Faivre 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Igor Silva 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 4.05pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ludovic Blas 66' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dango Ouattara 19' goal
  • Yoann Cathline 60' goal
  • Ibrahima Kone 74' goal
  • goal Ignatius Ganago 13'
  • goal Moses Simon 85'