Ligue 1
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Bamba Dieng 32' goal
  • Sambou Soumano 66' yellowcard
  • Arthur Avom 66' yellowcard
  • Karim Dermane 74' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Adjei 74' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Bamba 85' yellowcard
  • Arsène Kouassi 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Kaba 60'
  • yellowcard Dehmaine Tabibou 61'
  • goal Matthis Abline 74'
  • yellowcard Youssef El Arabi 77'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Acapandié 78'
  • yellowcard Francis Coquelin 78'

Lorient vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
Rennes 0 - 2 Lorient
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
Nantes 1 - 4 Nice
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Fabien Centonze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.05% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%) , while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Lorient 51.47% (+0.23)
Draw 25.05% (-0.31)
Nantes 23.48% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.07% (+0.73)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.27% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 25.73% (-0.81)
Over 2.5 49.94% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 50.06% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 27.63% (+0.69)
Under 3.5 72.37% (-0.69)
Over 4.5 15.7% (+0.43)
Under 4.5 84.3% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Lorient 42.08%
Draw 36.92% (-0.02)
Nantes 20.99% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Lorient 56.1% (+0.24)
No Goal 7.19% (-0.38)
Nantes 36.71% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 53.7% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 34.49%
Over 9 42.04% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 46.3% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 31.47%
Under 10.5 68.53%

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 47.36% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 52.64% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 22.59% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 77.41% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 8.45% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 91.55% (-0.19)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 59.45% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 40.55% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 25.11% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 74.89% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 7.45% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 92.55% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 1.73% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.27% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Lorient 51.47%
Draw 25.06%
Nantes 23.47%
Lorient
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.3% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.87% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.07)
Other @ 8.44% (+0.19)
Total : 51.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.79% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.06%
Nantes
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.21)
1-2 @ 6.28% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.56% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.72% (+0.09)
Total : 23.47%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 23, 2025 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Mostafa Mohamed 41' goal
  • goal Sambou Soumano 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • goal Jean-Charles Castelletto 49'
  • yellowcard Douglas 67'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pallois 69'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 4.00pm
5
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Matthis Abline 42' goal
  • Eray Comert 46' goal
  • Mostafa Mohamed 55' goal
  • Remy Descamps 81' yellowcard
  • Florent Mollet 83' goal
  • Moses Simon 90'+9' goal
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 6'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 53'
  • goal Romain Faivre 75'
  • goal Tosin Aiyegun 85'
  • yellowcard Romain Faivre 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Igor Silva 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 4.05pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ludovic Blas 66' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dango Ouattara 19' goal
  • Yoann Cathline 60' goal
  • Ibrahima Kone 74' goal
  • goal Ignatius Ganago 13'
  • goal Moses Simon 85'