Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.05% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%) , while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.