Ligue 1
Feb 22, 2026 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Yanis Zouaoui 3' goal
  • Ignatius Ganago 34' yellowcard
  • Dehmaine Tabibou 46' yellowcard
  • Herba Guirassy 53' yellowcard
  • Francis Coquelin 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kenny Quetant 46'
  • yellowcard Ally Samatta 46'
  • yellowcard Enzo Koffi Vinette 62'
  • yellowcard Yassine Kechta 63'

Nantes vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 8.05pm
Monaco 3 - 1 Nantes
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Fabien Centonze

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Le Havre 2 - 1 Toulouse
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Issa Soumare

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Nantes 37.03% (+0.69)
Draw 26.86% (+0.15)
Le Havre 36.11% (-0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.98% (-0.70)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.99% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 29.01% (+0.77)
Over 2.5 45.55% (-1.09)
Under 2.5 54.45% (+1.09)
Over 3.5 23.71% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 76.29% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 12.37% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 87.63% (+0.34)

First Half Winner

Nantes 28.66%
Draw 43.15%
Le Havre 28.18%

Team To Score First

Nantes 46.3% (-0.07)
No Goal 8.22% (+0.25)
Le Havre 45.48% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 54.94% (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.77% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.29% (+0.14)
Over 9 43.21% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.73% (-0.02)
Under 9 45.06% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 32.48% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 67.52% (+0.08)

Nantes Goals

Over 1.5 34.24% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.76% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 12.74% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.26% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.78% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.22% (-0.05)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 68.35% (-0.95)
Under 0.5 31.65% (+0.94)
Over 1.5 33.81% (-1.15)
Under 1.5 66.19% (+1.15)
Over 2.5 12.33% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 87.67% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 3.75% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 96.25% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Nantes 37.04%
Draw 26.86%
Le Havre 36.11%
Nantes
1-0 @ 10.57% (+0.43)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.45% (+0.28)
3-1 @ 3.3% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.72% (+0.04)
Total : 37.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.81% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.22% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 26.86%
Le Havre
0-1 @ 10.23% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.69% (-0.23)
Total : 36.11%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 8, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 4.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • Abdoulaye Toure 13' goal
  • Timothee Pembele 18' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Toure 27' goal
  • Timothee Pembele 88' goal
  • goal Saidou Sow 23'
  • goal Moses Simon 48'
  • yellowcard Sorba Thomas 64'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pallois 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 24, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Jean-Kevin Duverne 54' yellowcard
  • Moses Simon 62' yellowcard
  • goal Josue Casimir 3'
  • yellowcard Arthur Desmas 72'
  • goal Fabien Centonze 74' (OG)
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Emmanuel Sabbi 16' yellowcard
  • Daler Kuzyaev 83' yellowcard
  • Samuel Grandsir 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pallois 66'
  • goal Kader Bamba 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Kader Bamba 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Ronael Pierre-Gabriel 45' yellowcard
  • redcard Andre Ayew 67'
  • yellowcard Rassoul N'Diaye 85'
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 90'+6'