Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.