Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
PSG
Feb 21, 2026 8.05pm
Parc des Princes
Metz

Paris Saint-Germain vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 6.00pm
Rennes 1 - 0 PSG
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembele

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 4.15pm
Metz 0 - 0 Auxerre
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Gauthier Hein

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.53%. A draw has a probability of 15.23% and a win for Metz has a probability of 7.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.28%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.29%) , while for a Metz win it is 0-1 (2.85%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 77.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 15.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Metz 7.25% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 41.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 58.62% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 31.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 68.65% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 59.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 28.81% ▲ (+0.11)
Metz 11.94% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 74.69% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 5.51%
Metz 19.8% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 60.98% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 27.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 49.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 39.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 38.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 61.58% ▲ (+0.09)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 70.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 46.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 73.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 33.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 66.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 10.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 89.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 2.64%
Under 2.5 97.36%
Over 3.5 0.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 77.52%
Draw 15.22%
Metz 7.26%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-0 @ 12.65% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 11.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 26.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 77.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51%
2-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 15.22%
Metz
0-1 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 7.26%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Metz
Dec 13, 2025 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
PSG
  • Malick Mbaye 16' yellowcard
  • Jessy Deminguet 42' goal
  • Heorhii Tsitaishvili 81' goal
  • Koffi Kouao 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Koffi Kouao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 31'
  • goal Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha 39'
  • goal Desire Doue 63'
  • yellowcard Warren Zaire-Emery 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
Metz
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
PSG
  • Danley Jean Jacques 79' yellowcard
  • Matthieu Udol 86' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Soler 7'
  • goal Lee Kang-in 12'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 44'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
PSG
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
Metz
  • Vitinha 49' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 60' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 83' goal
  • yellowcard Christophe Herelle 32'
  • goal Matthieu Udol 72'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
PSG
May 21, 2022 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Metz
  • Kylian Mbappe 25' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 28' goal
  • Neymar 31' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 50' goal
  • Angel di Maria 67' goal
  • Neymar 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubacar Traore 23'
  • redcard Boubacar Traore 58'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Metz
Sep 22, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
PSG
  • Papa Ndiaga Yade 19' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 39' goal
  • Habib Maiga 68' yellowcard
  • Dylan Bronn 73' yellowcard
  • Fabien Centonze 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dylan Bronn 90'+1' redcard
  • Frederic Antonetti 90'+2' redcard
  • Alexandre Oukidja 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 5'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 69'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Neymar 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
Metz
Apr 24, 2021 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
PSG
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 4'
  • yellowcard Victorien Angban 15'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 37'
  • goal Fabien Centonze 46'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 58'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 59'
  • yellowcard Layvin Kurzawa 60'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 79'
  • goal Mauro Icardi 89'

Form Data

Monaco 2 - 3 PSG
Rennes 1 - 0 PSG
PSG 5 - 0 Marseille
Strasbourg 1 - 2 PSG
PSG 1 - 1 Newcastle
Auxerre 0 - 1 PSG
Metz 0 - 0 Auxerre
Metz 0 - 0 Lille
Angers 0 - 0 Metz
Metz 0 - 0 Lyon
Strasbourg 0 - 0 Metz
Metz 0 - 4 Montpellier