Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.24% and a win for Metz had a probability of 7.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%) , while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.