Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 4.15pm
Angers 0 - 0 Metz
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Gauthier Hein

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.00pm
Lyon 0 - 0 Lille
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Igmane Hamza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Metz has a probability of 28.26% and a draw has a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Metz win is 1-0 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).

Result

Metz 28.26% (+2.09)
Draw 25.02% (+1.09)
Lille 46.65% (-3.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.79% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.7% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 23.3% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 53.21% (-0.64)
Under 2.5 46.79% (+0.64)
Over 3.5 31.16% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 68.84% (+0.89)
Over 4.5 17.61% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 82.39% (+0.55)

First Half Winner

Metz 24.45% (+2.13)
Draw 40.21% (+1.31)
Lille 35.35% (-3.41)

Team To Score First

Metz 38.34% (+1.00)
No Goal 5.94% (+0.33)
Lille 55.72% (-1.32)

Corners

Over 8 48.12% (-1.99)
Equal 8 12.12% (+0.06)
Under 8 39.76% (+1.92)
Over 9 36.66% (-1.87)
Equal 9 11.45% (-0.13)
Under 9 51.88% (+1.99)
Over 10.5 26.71% (-1.61)
Under 10.5 73.29% (+1.61)

Metz Goals

Over 1.5 31.41% (+1.90)
Under 1.5 68.59% (-1.90)
Over 2.5 10.96% (+1.38)
Under 2.5 89.04% (-1.37)
Over 3.5 3.34% (+0.55)
Under 3.5 96.66% (-0.55)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 77.61% (-1.65)
Under 0.5 22.39% (+1.65)
Over 1.5 46.17% (-2.77)
Under 1.5 53.83% (+2.77)
Over 2.5 21.28% (-2.03)
Under 2.5 78.72% (+2.04)
Over 3.5 8.08% (-0.93)
Under 3.5 91.92% (+0.94)

Score analysis

Metz 28.26%
Draw 25.02%
Lille 46.66%
Metz
1-0 @ 7.38% (+0.38)
2-1 @ 7.02% (+0.39)
2-0 @ 4.35% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 2.83% (+0.31)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 1.52% (+0.31)
Other @ 3.14% (+0.37)
Total : 28.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.96% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 5.94% (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.19)
Total : 25.02%
Lille
0-1 @ 9.92% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 7.46% (-0.81)
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.72)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.28)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.20)
Other @ 7.88% (-1.13)
Total : 46.66%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 26, 2025 2.00pm
6
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Georges Mikautadze 23' goal
  • Didier Lamkel Ze 76' yellowcard
  • goal Ismaily 31'
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 37'
  • goal Yusuf Yazici 44'
  • yellowcard Nabil Bentaleb 51'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 4.05pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Yusuf Yazici 45'+2' goal
  • Jonathan David 45'+6' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2022 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edon Zhegrova 83' yellowcard
  • Jose Fonte 87' yellowcard
  • Edon Zhegrova 90'+1' redcard
  • Jocelyn Gourvennec 90'+5' redcard
  • Tiago Djalo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Habib Maiga 22'
  • yellowcard Boubakar Kouyate 67'
  • yellowcard Marc-Aurele Caillard 79'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Amadou 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2021 4.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Fabien Centonze 31' goal
  • Matthieu Udol 41' goal
  • Fabien Centonze 52' goal
  • Dylan Bronn 56' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 56' redcard
  • goal Sven Botman 23'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikone 79'
  • goal Jonathan Ikone 81'
  • yellowcard Burak Yilmaz 83'
  • goal Burak Yilmaz 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2021 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Boubakar Kouyate 65' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 16'
  • yellowcard Burak Yilmaz 45'+2'
  • goal Burak Yilmaz 60'
  • goal Zeki Celik 89'