Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46%. A win for Metz had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.