Europa League Gameweek 8
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Lille

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 M. Tel Aviv

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 29.96% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 1-2 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.09%).

Result

Lille 45.95% (-0.53)
Draw 24.1% (+0.42)
Freiburg 29.96% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.71% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 22.29% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 55.11% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.89% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.59% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 68.41% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 18.21% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 81.79% (+0.44)

First Half Winner

Lille 35.59% (+0.25)
Draw 41.94% (+0.90)
Freiburg 22.46% (-1.15)

Team To Score First

Lille 55.29% (+0.34)
No Goal 6%
Freiburg 38.71% (-0.34)

Corners

Over 8 55.73% (+1.74)
Equal 8 10.86% (-0.26)
Under 8 33.42% (-1.47)
Over 9 44.83% (+1.86)
Equal 9 10.9% (-0.11)
Under 9 44.27% (-1.74)
Over 10.5 34.72% (+1.82)
Under 10.5 65.28% (-1.82)

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 45.75% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 54.25% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 21.14% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 78.86% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 8.31% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 91.69% (+0.35)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 64.8% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 35.2% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 32.86% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 67.14% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 12.56% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.44% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.82% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.18% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Lille 45.96%
Draw 24.1%
Freiburg 29.96%
Lille
1-0 @ 9.5% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.39% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.05)
Other @ 8.18% (-0.34)
Total : 45.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 6%
2-2 @ 5.65% (+0.28)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 24.1%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 7.74% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 4.21% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.1% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.13% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.69% (+0.05)
Total : 29.96%