Europa League Gameweek 7
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Bologna

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Young Boys 1 - 0 Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Lille has a probability of 35.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Lille win is 0-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Celta Vigo 39.76% (+2.70)
Draw 24.96% (-0.22)
Lille 35.25% (-2.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.76% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.71% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 24.29% (+0.95)
Over 2.5 52.36% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 47.64% (+0.76)
Over 3.5 29.9% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 70.1% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 16.83% (-0.45)
Under 4.5 83.17% (+0.44)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 28.31% (-2.09)
Draw 43.19% (+1.54)
Lille 28.5% (+0.56)

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 48.02% (+0.92)
No Goal 6.73% (+0.29)
Lille 45.25% (-1.19)

Corners

Over 8 49.11% (+1.33)
Equal 8 12.32% (+0.11)
Under 8 38.57% (-1.43)
Over 9 37.38% (+1.10)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.24)
Under 9 50.89% (-1.33)
Over 10.5 27.14% (+0.81)
Under 10.5 72.86% (-0.80)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 39.76% (+1.50)
Under 1.5 60.24% (-1.50)
Over 2.5 16.74% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 83.26% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 6.03% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 93.97% (-0.38)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 68.72% (-2.35)
Under 0.5 31.28% (+2.34)
Over 1.5 36.08% (-2.58)
Under 1.5 63.92% (+2.58)
Over 2.5 14.71% (-1.56)
Under 2.5 85.29% (+1.56)
Over 3.5 4.66% (-0.73)
Under 3.5 95.34% (+0.74)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 39.76%
Draw 24.97%
Lille 35.24%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.29% (+0.80)
2-1 @ 8.81% (+0.39)
2-0 @ 6.13% (+0.54)
3-1 @ 3.98% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 3.16% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.45% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.94% (+0.43)
Total : 39.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.24)
0-0 @ 6.73% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.05)
Total : 24.97%
Lille
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.38)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.50)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.32)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.36)
Other @ 4.57% (-0.69)
Total : 35.24%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade du Hainaut
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 21' goal
  • Gabriel Gudmundsson 24' goal
  • Mohamed Bayo 33' goal
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 38'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 44'
  • yellowcard Fran Beltran 57'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 88'