Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.