La Liga Gameweek 20
Celta Vigo
Jan 18, 2026 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
Rayo Vallecano
  • Sergio Carreira 40' goal
  • Bryan Zaragoza 54' yellowcard
  • Miguel Roman Gonzalez 62' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 62' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 63' yellowcard
  • Miguel Roman Gonzalez 63' yellowcard
  • Miguel Román 63' yellowcard
  • Manuel Fernández Arroyo 71' yellowcard
  • Javier Rueda Garcia 71' yellowcard
  • Javi Rueda 71' yellowcard
  • Manu Fernández 71' yellowcard
  • Javier Rueda Garcia 79' goal
  • Javi Rueda 79' goal
  • Carlos Dominguez 83' yellowcard
  • Hugo Garcia Hoz 83' yellowcard
  • Hugo Burcio 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexandre Alemao 61'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 61'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 61'
  • yellowcard Jozhua Vertrouwd 68'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 78'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 78'
  • yellowcard Fran Pérez 78'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 79'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 79'

Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 12, 2026 8.00pm
Sevilla 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Williot Swedberg

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Mallorca
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 38.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 25.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Rayo Vallecano 35.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.79% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 24.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 50.67% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 49.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 28.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 71.64% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 15.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.83% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 28.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 42.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Rayo Vallecano 29.24%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 44.61% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 6.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Rayo Vallecano 48.54% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 56.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 31.68% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 44.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 43.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 10.5 33.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 66.48% ▲ (+0.03)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 38.35% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 61.65% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 15.2% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.8% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.06% ▲ (+0.05)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 69.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 38.38%
Draw 25.98%
Rayo Vallecano 35.63%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 38.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 25.98%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.53%
Other @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 35.63%

Head to Head

La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 21, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Celta Vigo
La Liga Gameweek 37
Celta Vigo
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Rayo Vallecano
  • Marcos Alonso 10' goal
  • Marcos Alonso 32' yellowcard
  • Yoel Lago Amil 68' yellowcard
  • goal Isi 17'
  • goal Jorge de Frutos 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 57'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 68'
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Rayo Vallecano
Jan 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Celta Vigo
  • Adri Embarba 5' goal
  • Pathe Ciss 21' yellowcard
  • Abdul Mumin 27' yellowcard
  • Jorge de Frutos 63' goal
  • goal Borja Iglesias 26'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 37'
  • yellowcard Franco Cervi 43'
  • redcard Marcos Alonso 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Celta Vigo
Mar 31, 2024 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Rayo Vallecano
  • Iago Aspas 69' yellowcard
  • Carlos Dominguez 83' yellowcard
  • Carles Perez 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 3'
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 44'
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 71'
La Liga Gameweek 16
Rayo Vallecano
Dec 11, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Celta Vigo
  • 10' goal
  • Oscar Valentin 68' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 73' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 83' yellowcard
La Liga Gameweek 25
Celta Vigo
Mar 11, 2023 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
Rayo Vallecano
  • Iago Aspas 51' goal
  • Pathe Ciss 52' goal
  • Iago Aspas 85' goal

Form Data

Sevilla 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 4 - 1 Valencia
Real Oviedo 0 - 0 Celta Vigo
Albacete 2 - 2 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Bologna
Alaves 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Mallorca
Granada 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Getafe
Elche 4 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 Drita

Build-up

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