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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 29.55% ( | 24.47% ( | 45.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.64% ( | 45.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.3% ( | 67.7% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( | 28.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( | 64.48% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( | 19.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% ( | 51.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.55% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.98% |