Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.