Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.