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Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

1-1

Holer (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Dortmund
Sunday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Wolfsburg vs. Freiburg
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Dortmund
Sunday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Dortmund vs. Borussia M'bach
Friday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
48.47%23.17%28.36%
Both teams to score 60.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88%40.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52%62.48%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2%16.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24%46.76%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18%26.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89%62.11%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 48.47%
    Borussia Dortmund 28.36%
    Draw 23.16%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-1 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.36%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2025 2.30pm
gameweek 28
Freiburg
1-4
Dortmund
Eggestein (88')
Ginter (65')
Adeyemi (34'), Chukwuemeka (51'), Guirassy (68'), Bynoe-Gittens (78')
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
gameweek 11
Dortmund
4-0
Freiburg
Beier (7'), Nmecha (40'), Brandt (66'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Couto (80')

Osterhage (58')
Osterhage (63'), Adamu (90+3')
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
gameweek 21
Dortmund
3-0
Freiburg
Malen (16', 45+7'), Fullkrug (87')
Ryerson (14'), Malen (73')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Freiburg
2-4
Dortmund
Holer (45+2'), Hofler (45+6')
Lienhart (87'), Eggestein (89')
Hofler (82')
Hummels (11', 88'), Malen (60'), Reus (90+2')
Bensebaini (45+4'), Wolf (68'), Can (78')
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 19
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (26'), Adeyemi (48'), Haller (51'), Brandt (69'), Reyna (82')
Holer (45')