Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Johan Manzambi 11' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Eggestein 72' yellowcard
  • Lucas Holer 75' goal
  • Lukas Kubler 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 11'
  • goal Ramy Bensebaini 31'
  • redcard Jobe Bellingham 53'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 83'

Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 2.30pm
Heidenheim 2 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 4.30pm
Dortmund 2 - 0 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 48.47%
Draw 23.17%
Borussia Dortmund 28.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.88%
Under 2.5 40.11%
Over 3.5 37.52%
Under 3.5 62.48%
Over 4.5 20.18%
Under 4.5 79.82%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 83.2%
Under 0.5 16.79%
Over 1.5 53.24%
Under 1.5 46.76%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 73.18%
Under 0.5 26.82%
Over 1.5 37.89%
Under 1.5 62.11%

Score analysis

Freiburg 48.47%
Draw 23.16%
Borussia Dortmund 28.36%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 48.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.16%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-1 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.36%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2025 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Matthias Ginter 65' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Eggestein 88' goal
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 34'
  • goal Carney Chukwuemeka 51'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 68'
  • goal Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Maximilian Beier 7' goal
  • Felix Nmecha 40' goal
  • Julian Brandt 66' goal
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 77' goal
  • Yan Couto 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 58'
  • redcard Patrick Osterhage 63'
  • redcard Chukwubuike Adamu 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Julian Ryerson 14' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 16' goal
  • Donyell Malen 45'+7' goal
  • Donyell Malen 73' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 87' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Lucas Holer 45'+2' goal
  • Nicolas Hofler 45'+6' goal
  • Nicolas Hofler 82' redcard
  • Philipp Lienhart 87' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Eggestein 89' yellowcard
  • goal Mats Hummels 11'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 45'+4'
  • goal Donyell Malen 60'
  • yellowcard Marius Wolf 68'
  • yellowcard Emre Can 78'
  • goal Mats Hummels 88'
  • goal Marco Reus 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 26' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 48' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 51' goal
  • Julian Brandt 69' goal
  • Giovanni Reyna 82' goal
  • goal Lucas Holer 45'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2022 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Gregoritsch 35' goal
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 33'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 60'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 67'
  • goal Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 77'
  • goal Youssoufa Moukoko 84'
  • goal Marius Wolf 88'