Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.