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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 48.47% | 23.17% | 28.36% |
| Both teams to score 60.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% | 40.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.52% | 62.48% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% | 16.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.24% | 46.76% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% | 26.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% | 62.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.22% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-1 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.36% |