Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.35% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%) , while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.